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Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?

This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Joe Biden's approval rating by FiveThirtyEight will be equal to or more than 41.7% for the day of February 9 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator,
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data will be checked on February 10 2022 according to data published for February 9.

If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the rating for the resolution date is available. If the rating is still not available on the resolution source a week later or Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating.
Please note, that the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$3,668
End Date
Feb 9, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Joe Biden's approval rating by FiveThirtyEight will be equal to or more than 41.7% for the day of February 9 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data will be checked on February 10 2022 according to data published for February 9. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the rating for the resolution date is available. If the rating is still not available on the resolution source a week later or Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating. Please note, that the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Joe Biden's approval rating by FiveThirtyEight will be equal to or more than 41.7% for the day of February 9 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator,
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data will be checked on February 10 2022 according to data published for February 9.

If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the rating for the resolution date is available. If the rating is still not available on the resolution source a week later or Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating.
Please note, that the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$3,668
End Date
Feb 9, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Joe Biden's approval rating by FiveThirtyEight will be equal to or more than 41.7% for the day of February 9 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data will be checked on February 10 2022 according to data published for February 9. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the rating for the resolution date is available. If the rating is still not available on the resolution source a week later or Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating. Please note, that the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 31, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.