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Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

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Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

0% chance
Polymarket

$0 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 42.6% for the day of April 17, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for April 17 as soon as a datapoint for April 18 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the April 18 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for April 17 is available by April 18, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to April 17. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 42.6% for the day of April 17, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for April 17 as soon as a datapoint for April 18 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the April 18 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for April 17 is available by April 18, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to April 17. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 10, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This market was recently created and has not yet received its first trade. Be the first to set the opening odds by placing a trade, or bookmark this page to check back as the market develops.

The resolution rules for "Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.