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Politics·DNC

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

icon for Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
Politics·DNC

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$32,065 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$32,065 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden calls someone by an incorrect name or references the wrong person at any point during his main keynote speech during the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered to have gotten a name wrong if he addresses or refers to an individual using a name that is not their correct or commonly known name. This includes, but is not limited to, using a wrong first or last name, a nickname which is not associated with the person, or any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name (e.g. when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes” see:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qm9IjiwJxAo). If Biden says a person's name correctly but associates it with incorrect events or a different identity, this will also be sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes" (e.g. Biden says Andrew Tate is the current President of France). If Biden corrects himself after using an incorrect name, it will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. However, if Biden begins correcting the name before he has completed saying the incorrect name, and completes a full pronunciation correctly, it will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Biden does not give a keynote speech before the end of the DNC, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden calls someone by an incorrect name or references the wrong person at any point during his main keynote speech during the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Biden will be considered to have gotten a name wrong if he addresses or refers to an individual using a name that is not their correct or commonly known name. This includes, but is not limited to, using a wrong first or last name, a nickname which is not associated with the person, or any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name (e.g. when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes” see:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qm9IjiwJxAo).

If Biden says a person's name correctly but associates it with incorrect events or a different identity, this will also be sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes" (e.g. Biden says Andrew Tate is the current President of France).

If Biden corrects himself after using an incorrect name, it will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. However, if Biden begins correcting the name before he has completed saying the incorrect name, and completes a full pronunciation correctly, it will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If Biden does not give a keynote speech before the end of the DNC, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.
Volume
$32,065
End Date
Aug 22, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2024, 12:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden calls someone by an incorrect name or references the wrong person at any point during his main keynote speech during the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered to have gotten a name wrong if he addresses or refers to an individual using a name that is not their correct or commonly known name. This includes, but is not limited to, using a wrong first or last name, a nickname which is not associated with the person, or any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name (e.g. when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes” see:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qm9IjiwJxAo). If Biden says a person's name correctly but associates it with incorrect events or a different identity, this will also be sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes" (e.g. Biden says Andrew Tate is the current President of France). If Biden corrects himself after using an incorrect name, it will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. However, if Biden begins correcting the name before he has completed saying the incorrect name, and completes a full pronunciation correctly, it will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Biden does not give a keynote speech before the end of the DNC, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden calls someone by an incorrect name or references the wrong person at any point during his main keynote speech during the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered to have gotten a name wrong if he addresses or refers to an individual using a name that is not their correct or commonly known name. This includes, but is not limited to, using a wrong first or last name, a nickname which is not associated with the person, or any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name (e.g. when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes” see:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qm9IjiwJxAo). If Biden says a person's name correctly but associates it with incorrect events or a different identity, this will also be sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes" (e.g. Biden says Andrew Tate is the current President of France). If Biden corrects himself after using an incorrect name, it will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. However, if Biden begins correcting the name before he has completed saying the incorrect name, and completes a full pronunciation correctly, it will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Biden does not give a keynote speech before the end of the DNC, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden calls someone by an incorrect name or references the wrong person at any point during his main keynote speech during the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Biden will be considered to have gotten a name wrong if he addresses or refers to an individual using a name that is not their correct or commonly known name. This includes, but is not limited to, using a wrong first or last name, a nickname which is not associated with the person, or any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name (e.g. when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes” see:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qm9IjiwJxAo).

If Biden says a person's name correctly but associates it with incorrect events or a different identity, this will also be sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes" (e.g. Biden says Andrew Tate is the current President of France).

If Biden corrects himself after using an incorrect name, it will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. However, if Biden begins correcting the name before he has completed saying the incorrect name, and completes a full pronunciation correctly, it will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If Biden does not give a keynote speech before the end of the DNC, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.
Volume
$32,065
End Date
Aug 22, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2024, 12:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden calls someone by an incorrect name or references the wrong person at any point during his main keynote speech during the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered to have gotten a name wrong if he addresses or refers to an individual using a name that is not their correct or commonly known name. This includes, but is not limited to, using a wrong first or last name, a nickname which is not associated with the person, or any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name (e.g. when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes” see:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qm9IjiwJxAo). If Biden says a person's name correctly but associates it with incorrect events or a different identity, this will also be sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes" (e.g. Biden says Andrew Tate is the current President of France). If Biden corrects himself after using an incorrect name, it will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. However, if Biden begins correcting the name before he has completed saying the incorrect name, and completes a full pronunciation correctly, it will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Biden does not give a keynote speech before the end of the DNC, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?" has generated $32.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.