Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
$151,696 Vol.
$151,696 Vol.
Nov 16, 2023
In Response to Trader Inquiry: "If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers" means if Barbie and Oppenheimer stop reporting any numbers or updates *permanently* - that is, if the studios still report infrequent updates, it will not satisfy the condition.
Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo. For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."
The domestic gross for 'Oppenheimer' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/. The domestic gross for 'Barbie' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/. The domestic grosses for each movie will be combined for the total Barbenheimer domestic gross. In the event that BoxOfficeMojo ceases to be available or reliable, then other websites that numerically track box office totals may be used.In Response to Trader Inquiry: "If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers" means if Barbie and Oppenheimer stop reporting any numbers or updates *permanently* - that is, if the studios still report infrequent updates, it will not satisfy the condition.
Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo. For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."
The domestic gross for 'Oppenheimer' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/. The domestic gross for 'Barbie' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/. The domestic grosses for each movie will be combined for the total Barbenheimer domestic gross. In the event that BoxOfficeMojo ceases to be available or reliable, then other websites that numerically track box office totals may be used.
Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo. For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."
The domestic gross for 'Oppenheimer' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/. The domestic gross for 'Barbie' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/. The domestic grosses for each movie will be combined for the total Barbenheimer domestic gross. In the event that BoxOfficeMojo ceases to be available or reliable, then other websites that numerically track box office totals may be used.
Created At: Jul 31, 2023, 3:28 PM ET
Volume
$151,696End Date
Nov 16, 2023Created At
Jul 31, 2023, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
$151,696 Vol.
$151,696 Vol.
Nov 16, 2023
In Response to Trader Inquiry: "If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers" means if Barbie and Oppenheimer stop reporting any numbers or updates *permanently* - that is, if the studios still report infrequent updates, it will not satisfy the condition.
Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo. For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."
The domestic gross for 'Oppenheimer' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/. The domestic gross for 'Barbie' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/. The domestic grosses for each movie will be combined for the total Barbenheimer domestic gross. In the event that BoxOfficeMojo ceases to be available or reliable, then other websites that numerically track box office totals may be used.In Response to Trader Inquiry: "If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers" means if Barbie and Oppenheimer stop reporting any numbers or updates *permanently* - that is, if the studios still report infrequent updates, it will not satisfy the condition.
Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo. For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."
The domestic gross for 'Oppenheimer' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/. The domestic gross for 'Barbie' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/. The domestic grosses for each movie will be combined for the total Barbenheimer domestic gross. In the event that BoxOfficeMojo ceases to be available or reliable, then other websites that numerically track box office totals may be used.
Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo. For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."
The domestic gross for 'Oppenheimer' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/. The domestic gross for 'Barbie' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/. The domestic grosses for each movie will be combined for the total Barbenheimer domestic gross. In the event that BoxOfficeMojo ceases to be available or reliable, then other websites that numerically track box office totals may be used.
Volume
$151,696End Date
Nov 16, 2023Created At
Jul 31, 2023, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?" has generated $151.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 31, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions