Name: Will any free agent QB get more money than Myles Garrett?
Start: 2025-03-10T17:30:41.860792Z
End: 2025-09-03T12:00:00Z

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"The Browns and the All-Pro pass rusher have agreed to terms on a new four-year extension that averages $40 million per year" (see: https://www.nfl.com/news/browns-de-myles-garrett-agree-to-terms-on-four-year-extension-worth-40-million-per-year#:~:text=The%20new%20deal%20puts%20Garrett,guarantees%2C%20per%20Rapoport%20and%20Pelissero)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any free agent quarterback signs a contract with an average annual value (APY) of $40,000,000.01 or greater by September 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No.

APY will be determined by dividing the total reported contract value by the total contract length.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will any free agent QB get more money than Myles Garrett?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Myles Garrett records more than 22.5 sacks in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com).


Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most passing yards in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. 

If two or more players are tied for the most passing yards, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Dak Prescott lead the NFL in passing yards this season?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL DPOY is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Myles Garrett win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?

This market will resolve according to the offensive lineman who wins the NFL Protector of the Year Award for the 2025-2026 season. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Trent Williams win the NFL Protector of the Year? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jaxon Smith-Njigba records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com).

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba break NFL receiving yards record?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL MVP is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Tucker signs with an NFL team as a player before the 2025-2026 NFL season ends. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Tucker will be considered to have signed with an NFL team if his signing is recorded on the official NFL transaction wire.

The resolution source for this market will be the official NFL transaction wire (https://www.nfl.com/transactions/). 

Will Justin Tucker sign with an NFL team this year?

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most sacks in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. 

If two or more players are tied for the most sacks, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Myles Garrett lead the NFL in sacks this season?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Saquon Barkley win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". 
If the listed team is eliminated based on the rules of the competition, the market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals is traded to the New York Jets before the start of the first 2026 NFL preseason game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Burrow is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of the resolution time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Jets, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?

This market will resolve according to the coach who wins the 2025-2026 NFL Coach of the Year award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Rodgers retires from the NFL before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from Rodgers that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Announcements that Rodgers will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Aaron Rodgers, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the top scoring quarterback during the 2025-26 NFL regular season. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will be based on ESPN's FFL Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring, and refers to the totals for the entirety of the 2025-26 NFL regular season. 

In case of a tie for the most points scored, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. 

If the 2025-26 NFL regular season is cancelled or not completed by April 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The resolution source for this market will be ESPN Fantasy https://fantasy.espn.com/football/leaders. 

Will Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season.

If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.

This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game. 

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the name of the next NFL head coach fired during the 2025-2026 NFL season. 

If no NFL head coach is fired by February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Raheem Morris be the next NFL Head Coach fired?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Odell Beckham Jr., serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between March 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use

Odell Beckham Jr. in jail in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Bill Belichick is engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Bill Belichick has married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Bill Belichick or one of his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Bill Belichick engaged in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most interceptions in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. 

If two or more players are tied for the most interceptions, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Nahshon Wright lead the NFL in interceptions this season?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player?

This market will resolve according to the NFL rookie running back who records the most rushing yards in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. 

If two or more players are tied for the most rushing yards, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Quinshon Judkins record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from California?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular season record in the 2025-2026 NFL American Football Conference (AFC).

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2025- 2026 NFL regular season with the best regular season record in the AFC.

If multiple teams are tied for the best record in the AFC in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed in the AFC for the 2026 NFL Playoffs. A list of the NFL’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL.

Will the Denver Broncos be the number 1 seed in the AFC?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

This is a polymarket to predict which division the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team from the listed division wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes with the best regular season record in the NFL for the 2025-26 Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If two or more teams finish with the same best record, the market will resolve in favor of the team that scored the most total points during the 2025–26 NFL regular season. If there is still a tie, the market will resolve to the team listed first alphabetically (e.g., Bills would resolve to "Yes" and Ravens would resolve to "No".)

If the 2025–26 NFL regular season is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will the Los Angeles Rams finish with the best record in the NFL?

On January 16, it was reported that Maverick Carter is seeking $5 billion to start a professional basketball league intended to compete with the NBA. You can read more about it here: https://sg.news.yahoo.com/investors-seek-5-billion-to-form-basketball-league-to-rival-nba-051441296.html

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-based professional basketball league or organization seeking to directly compete with the NBA raises more than $3 billion USD in funding by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, minor leagues, regional leagues, or leagues that explicitly act as feeder leagues to the NBA will not qualify as competitors.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from a qualifying organization, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will NBA competitor raise >$3b in 2025?

This is a polymarket to predict whether a team from the AFC or the NFC will win the NFL 2025-26 Super Bowl.

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the AFC, this market will resolve to "AFC".

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the NFC, this market will resolve to "NFC".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Super Bowl - Winning Conference 

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kash Patel is engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Kash Patel has married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kash Patel or one of his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kash Patel engaged in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jayson Tatum plays in any regular season or postseason NBA game during the 2025-2026 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

"Playing" is defined as Jayson Tatum playing any amount of time in a game. Merely being on the active roster will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/).

Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest three pointers made per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest three pointers made per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if the Cleveland Guardians, the team ownership, or Major League Baseball (MLB) officially announces that the team will change its name back to the Cleveland Indians by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Only announcements of an official team name change to “Cleveland Indians,” or any name that explicitly includes the word “Indians” in the team name, will qualify. Speculative statements, informal statements of intent, or announcements of changes to mascots, logos, uniforms, or other team branding elements that do not constitute an official name change will not qualify.

Official announcements will qualify regardless of if or when the name change takes effect.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Cleveland change name to "Indians" in 2025? 

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes"  if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data  for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.


Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

On Dec 12, Hailee Steinfeld revealed she was pregnant (see: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/47289078/buffalo-bills-josh-allen-hailee-steinfeld-pregnant).

This market will resolve to "Boy" if Josh Allen, Hailee Steinfeld, or one of their official representatives announces that they are having a boy.

This market will resolve to "Girl" if Josh Allen, Hailee Steinfeld, or one of their official representatives announces that they are having a girl.

If the biological sex of Hailee Steinfeld's child remains undisclosed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".

If Steinfeld gives birth to more than one child from this pregnancy, this market will resolve based on the biological sex of the children. If all children are of the same biological sex, the market will resolve as "Boy" if all are male, or "Girl" if all are female. If the children are of different sexes, the market will resolve to "50-50".

This market refers only to the current pregnancy. Any future pregnancies will not be considered for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Josh Allen and Hailee Steinfeld however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.

If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.

This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.

If GTA 6 is not released by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NFL officially announces a rule change that prohibits, limits, or penalizes the “tush push” from being used in the 2026 season before the start of the first regular season game of the 2026 NFL season. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The “tush push” refers to a football play in which an offensive player or multiple offensive players line up directly behind the quarterback and push the quarterback forward immediately after the snap. A qualifying rule change must affect the use of this play. Partial bans, such as rules that ban pushing the quarterback only in certain situations (e.g. on quarterback sneaks), restrict who can push the quarterback, or impose penalties that specifically target the “tush push” formation or execution, will qualify.

The market will resolve based on the first official announcement from the NFL. If the league announces that the tush push will not be banned for the 2026 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No”.

Announcements of future rule changes affecting the use of the "tush push" which don't apply to the 2026 NFL season will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official NFL announcements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States falls below 6.00% at any point between September 2 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, there is no data point for this market's resolution date on either of the sources listed below, information for the nearest previously available date will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market is Freddie Mac, specifically https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. The data that will be looked at is the "30Y FRM" as indicated on the graph titled "Primary Mortgage Market Survey®". If the resolution source is unavailable, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US will be looked at instead. If both sources are unavailable, other credible reporting may be used.

30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest points per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest points per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).

Will any free agent QB get more money than Myles Garrett?

Market Context

Will any free agent QB get more money than Myles Garrett?

Rules

Will any free agent QB get more money than Myles Garrett?

Market Context

Will any free agent QB get more money than Myles Garrett?

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