Name: Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?
Start: 2025-03-19T19:48:39.05244Z
End: 2025-03-23T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a #14, #15 or #16 seed wins a game in the first round of the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If a game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If for any reason the first round is not completed by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA.


Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will South Carolina (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 10 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 10's official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigten.org or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Michigan State win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.

Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 ACC Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the ACC or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the ACC’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on theacc.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will North Carolina win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular-season record in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference standings.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Eastern Conference.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 12 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 12’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on big12sports.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Houston win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular-season record in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference standings.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Western Conference.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season in the Western Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 SEC Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the NCAA or SEC (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), this market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the SEC’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on SECSports.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big East Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big East or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big East’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigeast.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?

This is a polymarket to predict if any NCAA Division I FBS football team will finish the 2025–26 season undefeated with a record of 15-0.

If at least one NCAA Division I FBS team officially finishes the season with a 15-0 record, this market will resolve to “Yes.” If no team does so, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the NCAA Division I FBS season or College Football Playoff are canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be the official NCAA and school athletics websites. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025–26 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A team will be considered to have made the Playoffs if it qualifies for the postseason bracket under the official rules of the NHL for the 2025–26 season. Qualification through any officially recognized NHL format (including Wild Card berths) will count.

If it becomes impossible for the listed team to qualify for the Playoffs based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. the team is mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the Colorado Avalanche make the NHL Playoffs?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the Naismith College Player of the Year Award for the 2025-2026 Men’s NCAA division 1 basketball season.

If the listed player is not included as a semifinalist or finalist for the Naismith College Player of the Year Award, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is announced by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the Naismith Awards organizers (https://naismithtrophy.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Darryn Peterson win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". 
If the listed team is eliminated based on the rules of the competition, the market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes the 2025-2026 NBA Regular Season with the best record in the league.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the regular Season with the best record.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025-26 NBA Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives home court advantage for the 2026 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins more than their listed projected number of regular-season games. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the team becomes mathematically unable to exceed their projected win total before the season ends, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Eastern Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the listed division for the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference Finals. 

If it becomes impossible for this team to win based on the rules of the NBA this market will resolve to “No”. 

If multiple teams share the same record, official NBA tie breaking rules will be used to determine the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Western Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jayson Tatum plays in any regular season or postseason NBA game during the 2025-2026 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

"Playing" is defined as Jayson Tatum playing any amount of time in a game. Merely being on the active roster will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/).

Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from California?

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

This polymarket will resolve to the player who wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the listed division during the 2025-26 NHL regular season.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win its division (e.g., mathematical elimination before season end), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The NBA trade deadline for the 2025-2026 season is scheduled for February 5, 2026.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular season record in the 2025–2026 NFL National Football Conference (NFC).

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2025-2026 NFL regular season with the best regular season record in the NFC.

If multiple teams are tied for the best record in the NFC in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed in the NFC for the 2026 NFL Playoffs. A list of the NFL’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL.

Will the Los Angeles Rams be the number 1 seed in the NFC?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular season record in the 2025-2026 NFL American Football Conference (AFC).

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2025- 2026 NFL regular season with the best regular season record in the AFC.

If multiple teams are tied for the best record in the AFC in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed in the AFC for the 2026 NFL Playoffs. A list of the NFL’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL.

Will the Denver Broncos be the number 1 seed in the AFC?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  

Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?

Market Context

Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?

Rules

Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?

Market Context

Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?

About

Related