Name: Who will win the USDH ticker?
Start: 2025-09-08T17:52:23.408625Z
End: 2026-01-01T04:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to the winner of Hyperliquid’s USDH on-chain validator vote taking place on September 14.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Hyperliquid.

If the vote is not completed or no winner is declared by December 31 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other"

Ethena

Paxos

Frax

Native Markets

Agora

Who will win the USDH ticker?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Coinbase 1 minute candles for USDT-USD for any 24 hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 01 Jan '25 00:00 and 31 Dec '25 23:59 in the ET timezone. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e. 0.97999 or lower). A 24h period of USDT below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2025 will count.

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the USDT-USD “High” prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/spot/USDT-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase USDT-USD. If Coinbase stops having the necessary USDT information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDT was below 98 cents for 24h+ may be used to resolve this market.

USDT depeg in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for DOGEUSDT between 12 Mar '25 15:00 and 31 Dec '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGEUSDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGEUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Dogecoin all time high before 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for HYPEUSDT between 3  October '25 11:00 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPEUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Ethena
$1,151,282 Vol.
No

Paxos
$1,200,931 Vol.
No

Frax
$298,103 Vol.
No

Native Markets
$1,658,696 Vol.
Yes

Agora
$303,406 Vol.
No

Sky
$494,318 Vol.
No

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Rules

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

About

Related

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Ethena$1,151,282 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Paxos$1,200,931 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Frax$298,103 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Native Markets$1,658,696 Vol.Yescircle check

Agora$303,406 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Sky$494,318 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Rules

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

About

Related

Ethena
$1,151,282 Vol.
No

Paxos
$1,200,931 Vol.
No

Frax
$298,103 Vol.
No

Native Markets
$1,658,696 Vol.
Yes

Agora
$303,406 Vol.
No

Sky
$494,318 Vol.
No