Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$145,214,291 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 39%

Kevin Hassett 39%

Christopher Waller 13.2%

Rick Rieder 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,214,291
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$145,214,291 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 39%

Kevin Hassett 39%

Christopher Waller 13.2%

Rick Rieder 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$4,059,237 Vol.

39%

Kevin Hassett

$8,200,722 Vol.

39%

Christopher Waller

$3,351,927 Vol.

13%

Rick Rieder

$2,485,507 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$3,381,061 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$2,842,759 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$3,620,065 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$2,285,586 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$2,826,978 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,875,329 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,955,478 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,293,413 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$7,800,319 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,758,984 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$2,940,995 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,246,084 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,704,038 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,297,791 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,917,305 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,867,204 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,542,947 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,510,286 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$4,993,615 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$14,763,189 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$20,688,464 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$145,214,291
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.