Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

Name: Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?
Start: 2025-11-26T15:13:10.41308Z
End: 2026-01-18T00:00:00Z

$2,232,770 Vol.

Jan 18, 2026

João Cotrim de Figueiredo
$692,386 Vol.
No

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$33,505 Vol.
No

André Ventura (CH)
$519,006 Vol.
Yes

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$1,931 Vol.
No

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$450,366 Vol.
No

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$142,978 Vol.
No

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$2,203 Vol.
No

António Filipe (PCP)
$3,984 Vol.
No

José Cardoso (PLS)
$2,305 Vol.
No

Jorge Pinto
$4,909 Vol.
No

Tim Vieira (IND)
$1,610 Vol.
No

André Pestana (IND)
$4,687 Vol.
No

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$2,114 Vol.
No

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,235 Vol.
No

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$1,063 Vol.
No

António José Seguro (IND)
$303,956 Vol.
Yes

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$1,518 Vol.
No

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$3,210 Vol.
No

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$535 Vol.
No

Catarina Martins
$11,020 Vol.
No

Humberto Correia
$15,692 Vol.
No

Manuel João Vieira
$30,557 Vol.
No

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Volume

$2,232,770

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$2,232,770 Vol.

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$692,386 Vol.

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$33,505 Vol.

André Ventura (CH)

$519,006 Vol.

Yes

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$1,931 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$450,366 Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$142,978 Vol.

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$2,203 Vol.

António Filipe (PCP)

$3,984 Vol.

José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,305 Vol.

Jorge Pinto

$4,909 Vol.

Tim Vieira (IND)

$1,610 Vol.

André Pestana (IND)

$4,687 Vol.

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$2,114 Vol.

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,235 Vol.

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$1,063 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)

$303,956 Vol.

Yes

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$1,518 Vol.

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$3,210 Vol.

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$535 Vol.

Catarina Martins

$11,020 Vol.

Humberto Correia

$15,692 Vol.

Manuel João Vieira

$30,557 Vol.

About

Volume

$2,232,770

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

97%

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?

40%

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?

96%

Beware of external links.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?