Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Petr Yan as the heavy 66% implied probability favorite for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bantamweight title defense, fueled by the champion's post-fight confirmation after UFC 323—where Dvalishvili secured his fourth defense of 2025 via unanimous decision in their rematch on December 6—that the promotion guaranteed a trilogy bout, granting him extended rest. Deiveson Figueiredo's 32.6% share gained from his dominant UFC Rio co-main win over Montel Jackson in October 2025 and subsequent callout, which Dvalishvili welcomed publicly. Payton Talbott at 30.1% reflects his rapid rise as a top prospect amid division shakeups, while Sean O'Malley's 13.1% lags post-prior title loss. Dvalishvili's recent nose injury and April 18 wrestling match versus Henry Cejudo signal a summer return window, sustaining Yan's lead via official matchmaking signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 71%
Deiveson Figueiredo 33.5%
Sean O'Malley 13.8%
Umar Nurmagomedov 2.8%
$13,243 Vol.
$13,243 Vol.
Petr Yan
78%
Deiveson Figueiredo
34%
Sean O'Malley
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Payton Talbott
30%
Petr Yan 71%
Deiveson Figueiredo 33.5%
Sean O'Malley 13.8%
Umar Nurmagomedov 2.8%
$13,243 Vol.
$13,243 Vol.
Petr Yan
78%
Deiveson Figueiredo
34%
Sean O'Malley
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Payton Talbott
30%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Petr Yan as the heavy 66% implied probability favorite for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bantamweight title defense, fueled by the champion's post-fight confirmation after UFC 323—where Dvalishvili secured his fourth defense of 2025 via unanimous decision in their rematch on December 6—that the promotion guaranteed a trilogy bout, granting him extended rest. Deiveson Figueiredo's 32.6% share gained from his dominant UFC Rio co-main win over Montel Jackson in October 2025 and subsequent callout, which Dvalishvili welcomed publicly. Payton Talbott at 30.1% reflects his rapid rise as a top prospect amid division shakeups, while Sean O'Malley's 13.1% lags post-prior title loss. Dvalishvili's recent nose injury and April 18 wrestling match versus Henry Cejudo signal a summer return window, sustaining Yan's lead via official matchmaking signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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