Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 53%

Sean O'Malley 15%

Umar Nurmagomedov 14%

Merab Dvalishvili 14%

Polymarket

$288,128 Vol.

Petr Yan 53%

Sean O'Malley 15%

Umar Nurmagomedov 14%

Merab Dvalishvili 14%

Polymarket

$288,128 Vol.

Petr Yan

$2,358 Vol.

53%

Sean O'Malley

$1,063 Vol.

15%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$1,577 Vol.

11%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,855 Vol.

14%

Aiemann Zahabi

$60,637 Vol.

11%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$41,703 Vol.

3%

Song Yadong

$1,236 Vol.

1%

Cory Sandhagen

$3,334 Vol.

1%

Marlon Vera

$63,895 Vol.

1%

David Martinez

$88,091 Vol.

<1%

Mario Bautista

$22,380 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability to remain UFC Bantamweight champion through 2026, anchored by his unanimous decision dethroning of Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025—avenging a prior loss amid hand issues—and recent recovery updates confirming full training resumption after January back surgery, targeting a summer return. Sean O'Malley (15%) positions as prime challenger via stylistic edge in a potential rematch and upcoming June White House bout against surging Aiemann Zahabi (11.2%), whose seven-fight win streak includes decisions over Marlon Vera and Jose Aldo. Merab Dvalishvili (13.5%) eyes a trilogy with wrestling pressure, while Umar Nurmagomedov (10.5%) builds undefeated hype post-Deiveson Figueiredo victory, reflecting crowded contender dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$288,128
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability to remain UFC Bantamweight champion through 2026, anchored by his unanimous decision dethroning of Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025—avenging a prior loss amid hand issues—and recent recovery updates confirming full training resumption after January back surgery, targeting a summer return. Sean O'Malley (15%) positions as prime challenger via stylistic edge in a potential rematch and upcoming June White House bout against surging Aiemann Zahabi (11.2%), whose seven-fight win streak includes decisions over Marlon Vera and Jose Aldo. Merab Dvalishvili (13.5%) eyes a trilogy with wrestling pressure, while Umar Nurmagomedov (10.5%) builds undefeated hype post-Deiveson Figueiredo victory, reflecting crowded contender dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$288,128
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 53%, followed by "Sean O'Malley" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $288.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean O'Malley" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.