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Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?

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Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?

$20,448 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026
Polymarket

$20,448 Vol.

Polymarket

Duke

$1,331 Vol.

100%

Arizona

$1,300 Vol.

99%

Michigan

$2,113 Vol.

99%

Texas Tech

$314 Vol.

22%

UConn

$200 Vol.

30%

Houston

$240 Vol.

24%

Michigan State

$1,010 Vol.

5%

Iowa State

$351 Vol.

5%

Illinois

$1,626 Vol.

3%

BYU

$2,596 Vol.

3%

Vanderbilt

$2,084 Vol.

3%

Gonzaga

$426 Vol.

2%

Purdue

$304 Vol.

2%

Arkansas

$543 Vol.

2%

Nebraska

$1,414 Vol.

1%

Kansas

$462 Vol.

1%

North Carolina

$1,814 Vol.

1%

Alabama

$805 Vol.

<1%

Tennessee

$730 Vol.

<1%

Louisville

$783 Vol.

<1%

The seedings and bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament are scheduled to be selected on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team earns a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament is canceled, or the number 1 seeds are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (ncaa.com).
Volume
$20,448
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:46 AM ET
The seedings and bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament are scheduled to be selected on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team earns a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament is canceled, or the number 1 seeds are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (ncaa.com).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Duke" at 100%, followed by "Arizona" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" has generated $20.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is "Duke" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arizona" at 99%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.