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Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?

NEW
Mar 15, 2026
Polymarket

The seedings and bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament are scheduled to be selected on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team earns a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament is canceled, or the number 1 seeds are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (ncaa.com).
Volume
$2,460
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Jan 2, 2026, 7:46 AM ET
The seedings and bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament are scheduled to be selected on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team earns a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament is canceled, or the number 1 seeds are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (ncaa.com).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 98%, followed by "Arizona" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is "Michigan" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arizona" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?

$2,460 Vol.

Polymarket

Duke

$168 Vol.

74%

Michigan

$275 Vol.

98%

Arizona

$195 Vol.

88%

Purdue

$0 Vol.

50%

Illinois

$0 Vol.

50%

Houston

$0 Vol.

49%

Kansas

$66 Vol.

48%

North Carolina

$173 Vol.

48%

Alabama

$80 Vol.

48%

Texas Tech

$70 Vol.

48%

Arkansas

$64 Vol.

45%

Tennessee

$119 Vol.

44%

Vanderbilt

$75 Vol.

43%

Iowa State

$0 Vol.

43%

Louisville

$172 Vol.

41%

Nebraska

$77 Vol.

41%

Michigan State

$740 Vol.

14%

UConn

$44 Vol.

49%

Gonzaga

$83 Vol.

36%

BYU

$60 Vol.

48%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 98%, followed by "Arizona" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" is "Michigan" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arizona" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.