Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby suiting up for the Las Vegas Raiders in 2026 at 78% implied probability, solidified by a collapsed trade to the Baltimore Ravens earlier this month over concerns with his degenerative knee during the physical, prompting Baltimore to back out and sign Trey Hendrickson instead. Crosby's $30 million 2026 base salary and newly guaranteed $29 million for 2027 keep him locked in Las Vegas absent a post-free-agency deal, with the star EDGE rusher voicing commitment to stay long-term amid the Raiders' aggressive spending on defense. Head coach Klint Kubiak likened the retention to another free-agent addition, boosting front-seven projections. Bengals (10%), Seahawks (6%), and Ravens (5%) linger as alternatives due to pass-rush needs and prior interest like Dallas' multiple offers, though Raiders' cap flexibility and Crosby's motivation post-drama position them as clear frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 2.6%
$40,714 Vol.
$40,714 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
78%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
Chicago Bears
2%
New England Patriots
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Denver Broncos
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 2.6%
$40,714 Vol.
$40,714 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
78%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
Chicago Bears
2%
New England Patriots
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Denver Broncos
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby suiting up for the Las Vegas Raiders in 2026 at 78% implied probability, solidified by a collapsed trade to the Baltimore Ravens earlier this month over concerns with his degenerative knee during the physical, prompting Baltimore to back out and sign Trey Hendrickson instead. Crosby's $30 million 2026 base salary and newly guaranteed $29 million for 2027 keep him locked in Las Vegas absent a post-free-agency deal, with the star EDGE rusher voicing commitment to stay long-term amid the Raiders' aggressive spending on defense. Head coach Klint Kubiak likened the retention to another free-agent addition, boosting front-seven projections. Bengals (10%), Seahawks (6%), and Ravens (5%) linger as alternatives due to pass-rush needs and prior interest like Dallas' multiple offers, though Raiders' cap flexibility and Crosby's motivation post-drama position them as clear frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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