Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders at 77.9% implied probability, driven by his three-year, $106.5 million extension through 2027—including a fully guaranteed $30 million 2026 base salary and $29 million in 2027—that returned to the Raiders' books after a failed trade to the Baltimore Ravens earlier this month. The deal collapsed when Crosby failed a physical due to a degenerative knee issue, prompting both sides to recommit: Crosby expressed desire to retire as a Raider, and new HC Klint Kubiak hailed his retention as a "free-agent addition" on March 29. Prior rumors positioned Bengals (9.7%), Seahawks (5.9%), and Ravens (5.1%) as fits needing elite edge rushers, but injury concerns and Raiders' leverage have diminished trade momentum amid ample cap space.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 2.6%
$40,714 Vol.
$40,714 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
78%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Denver Broncos
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
New York Jets
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 2.6%
$40,714 Vol.
$40,714 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
78%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Denver Broncos
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
New York Jets
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders at 77.9% implied probability, driven by his three-year, $106.5 million extension through 2027—including a fully guaranteed $30 million 2026 base salary and $29 million in 2027—that returned to the Raiders' books after a failed trade to the Baltimore Ravens earlier this month. The deal collapsed when Crosby failed a physical due to a degenerative knee issue, prompting both sides to recommit: Crosby expressed desire to retire as a Raider, and new HC Klint Kubiak hailed his retention as a "free-agent addition" on March 29. Prior rumors positioned Bengals (9.7%), Seahawks (5.9%), and Ravens (5.1%) as fits needing elite edge rushers, but injury concerns and Raiders' leverage have diminished trade momentum amid ample cap space.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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