Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders at 77.9% implied probability for 2026, anchored by his three-year, $106.5 million extension through 2027 and public statements expressing a desire to retire in Vegas after a failed trade to the Baltimore Ravens unraveled on March 10 due to concerns over his degenerative knee during the physical. The Raiders rejected overtures from teams like the Dallas Cowboys, while Crosby's fully guaranteed salaries deter mid-offseason moves absent overwhelming draft capital. Cincinnati Bengals at 9.7% reflect lingering speculation from former players like Pacman Jones, despite no confirmed interest, as their pass-rush needs persist post-Trey Hendrickson departure. Seattle Seahawks and Ravens trail amid edge rusher market dynamics, but Raiders' cap hit and Crosby's loyalty solidify the frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 2.1%
$40,714 Vol.
$40,714 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
78%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
Dallas Cowboys
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
New England Patriots
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Denver Broncos
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 2.1%
$40,714 Vol.
$40,714 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
78%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
Dallas Cowboys
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
New England Patriots
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Denver Broncos
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders at 77.9% implied probability for 2026, anchored by his three-year, $106.5 million extension through 2027 and public statements expressing a desire to retire in Vegas after a failed trade to the Baltimore Ravens unraveled on March 10 due to concerns over his degenerative knee during the physical. The Raiders rejected overtures from teams like the Dallas Cowboys, while Crosby's fully guaranteed salaries deter mid-offseason moves absent overwhelming draft capital. Cincinnati Bengals at 9.7% reflect lingering speculation from former players like Pacman Jones, despite no confirmed interest, as their pass-rush needs persist post-Trey Hendrickson departure. Seattle Seahawks and Ravens trail amid edge rusher market dynamics, but Raiders' cap hit and Crosby's loyalty solidify the frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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