Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders defensive end Maxx Crosby remaining with the team in 2026 at 69.5% implied probability, driven by the mid-March collapse of a near-trade to the Baltimore Ravens—reportedly over physical concerns—and subsequent affirmations from Raiders GM John Spytek envisioning Crosby on the roster alongside the star's public declaration of wanting to stay a Raider for life. His $30 million 2026 cap hit, with no team meeting the steep asking price of two first-round picks despite ongoing calls, solidifies retention amid repaired team relations post-2025 shutdown frustrations. Cincinnati Bengals rank second at 9.8% on speculative early-March rumors from ex-player Adam "Pacman" Jones claiming pursuit, though unconfirmed and cooled after Trey Hendrickson's signing elsewhere; Seattle Seahawks (5.8%) and Ravens (3.6%) reflect thinner monitoring interest without momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.8%
Baltimore Ravens 3.6%
Chicago Bears 2.6%
$57,746 Vol.
$57,746 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
69%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
4%
Chicago Bears
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Dallas Cowboys
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 71.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.8%
Baltimore Ravens 3.6%
Chicago Bears 2.6%
$57,746 Vol.
$57,746 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
69%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
4%
Chicago Bears
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Dallas Cowboys
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders defensive end Maxx Crosby remaining with the team in 2026 at 69.5% implied probability, driven by the mid-March collapse of a near-trade to the Baltimore Ravens—reportedly over physical concerns—and subsequent affirmations from Raiders GM John Spytek envisioning Crosby on the roster alongside the star's public declaration of wanting to stay a Raider for life. His $30 million 2026 cap hit, with no team meeting the steep asking price of two first-round picks despite ongoing calls, solidifies retention amid repaired team relations post-2025 shutdown frustrations. Cincinnati Bengals rank second at 9.8% on speculative early-March rumors from ex-player Adam "Pacman" Jones claiming pursuit, though unconfirmed and cooled after Trey Hendrickson's signing elsewhere; Seattle Seahawks (5.8%) and Ravens (3.6%) reflect thinner monitoring interest without momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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