President Trump's intensifying rhetoric on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including threats to resume airstrikes if no nuclear deal materializes by mid-week, drives trader consensus in this market tracking specific phrases through April 19. On April 18, he signed an executive order while delivering remarks on Iran, followed by Truth Social posts demanding the strait reopen or face "hell," amid a U.S. naval blockade and Iranian intermittent closures. Frequent press gaggles, such as April 16 before White House departures, and social media activity elevate expectations for hawkish language referencing operations like Epic Fury or escalatory terms. No public schedule is confirmed for April 20-25, but the resolution window closes today at 11:59 PM ET.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$193,764 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
Epic Fury
11%
Sucker / Loser
8%
Christmas
5%
Boy oh boy
6%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
7%
AOC
3%
Losing MAGA
5%
Jesus
6%
Peanut
12%
Central Casting
6%
Regarded
6%
Crypto / Bitcoin
5%
No No No
8%
Gay for Palestine
1%
Nuke
10%
Four to Six
19%
$193,764 Vol.
Epic Fury
$4,088 Vol.
11%
Sucker / Loser
$1,900 Vol.
8%
Christmas
$1,420 Vol.
5%
Boy oh boy
$3,230 Vol.
6%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
$6,582 Vol.
7%
AOC
$694 Vol.
3%
Losing MAGA
$3,880 Vol.
5%
Jesus
$10,359 Vol.
6%
Peanut
$529 Vol.
12%
Central Casting
$340 Vol.
6%
Regarded
$1,316 Vol.
6%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$6,131 Vol.
5%
No No No
$822 Vol.
8%
Gay for Palestine
$2,051 Vol.
1%
Nuke
$2,002 Vol.
10%
Four to Six
$444 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's intensifying rhetoric on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including threats to resume airstrikes if no nuclear deal materializes by mid-week, drives trader consensus in this market tracking specific phrases through April 19. On April 18, he signed an executive order while delivering remarks on Iran, followed by Truth Social posts demanding the strait reopen or face "hell," amid a U.S. naval blockade and Iranian intermittent closures. Frequent press gaggles, such as April 16 before White House departures, and social media activity elevate expectations for hawkish language referencing operations like Epic Fury or escalatory terms. No public schedule is confirmed for April 20-25, but the resolution window closes today at 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$193,764End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's intensifying rhetoric on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including threats to resume airstrikes if no nuclear deal materializes by mid-week, drives trader consensus in this market tracking specific phrases through April 19. On April 18, he signed an executive order while delivering remarks on Iran, followed by Truth Social posts demanding the strait reopen or face "hell," amid a U.S. naval blockade and Iranian intermittent closures. Frequent press gaggles, such as April 16 before White House departures, and social media activity elevate expectations for hawkish language referencing operations like Epic Fury or escalatory terms. No public schedule is confirmed for April 20-25, but the resolution window closes today at 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$193,764End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's intensifying rhetoric on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including threats to resume airstrikes if no nuclear deal materializes by mid-week, drives trader consensus in this market tracking specific phrases through April 19. On April 18, he signed an executive order while delivering remarks on Iran, followed by Truth Social posts demanding the strait reopen or face "hell," amid a U.S. naval blockade and Iranian intermittent closures. Frequent press gaggles, such as April 16 before White House departures, and social media activity elevate expectations for hawkish language referencing operations like Epic Fury or escalatory terms. No public schedule is confirmed for April 20-25, but the resolution window closes today at 11:59 PM ET.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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