Name: What will Trump say during Detroit rally?
Start: 2024-10-16T21:18:55.191719Z
End: 2024-10-18T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Detroit, Michigan scheduled for October 18, 2024.

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 25 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Border 25+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 35 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Border 35+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Tren de Aragua" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Tren de Aragua

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Ford" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Ford" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Henry Ford, Ford Motor Company, or any products or services offered by that company.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Ford

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weave" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "weave" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Donald Trump's manner of speech.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Weave

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US vice president Kamala Harris.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Kamala 30+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "million" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "million" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a very large number.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Million 10+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country officially named the People's Republic of China.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

China 10+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "make America great again" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning "make America great again".

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

MAGA 4+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "American dream" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

American Dream 3+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "North Carolina" 2 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "North Carolina" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US state.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

North Carolina 2+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "hurricane" 2 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "hurricane" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a storm with a violent wind, in particular a tropical cyclone in the Caribbean.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Hurricane 2+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Barack Hussein Obama" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Barack Hussein Obama

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "insane asylum" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Insane Asylum

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tampon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Tampon

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts).

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Trans

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Crypto/Bitcoin

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Reagan" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Reagan" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US president Ronald Reagan.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Reagan

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "JD" or "Vance" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "JD" or "Vance" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US vice presidential candidate JD Vance.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

JD Vance

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Tesla" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Tesla" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the American automotive company Tesla, Inc.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Tesla

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 18 in Detroit, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-detroit-mi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Elon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to billionaire CEO Elon Musk.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Elon

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 5, and  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Elon Musk?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that creates a ‘DOGE dividend’ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any cash transfer, tax credit, or other comparable financial transfer which is referred to as a DOGE dividend, or which is otherwise directly funded by savings created by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will qualify.  

Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

On September 1, 2025, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Trump administration may declare a national housing emergency this fall to address high housing costs.(see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bessent-says-trump-administration-will-tackle-high-housing-costs-with-new-2025-09-01/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) primarily addressing housing by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Washington Commanders, or the ownership/development entity responsible for the team’s planned new stadium in Washington, D.C., officially announce and agree that the stadium will be named after Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying announcement must:
- Be made publicly and on the record by the Commanders organization or by the entity that owns or controls the new stadium (e.g., via press release, official statement, or filing).
- Clearly state that the new stadium will bear Trump’s name (for example, “Trump Stadium” or “Donald J. Trump Field”).
- Reflect a finalized agreement or naming-rights deal, not a proposal, negotiation, or expression of intent.

If any other official naming-rights deal is announced for the new stadium prior to June 30, 2026 — including a corporate sponsorship or another individual’s name — this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution sources will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?

The 2026 midterm elections for the US House of Representatives is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the House of Representatives for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US House of Representatives as of November 2, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election. The loss of particular district seats will not count towards a resolution for this market; only the total number of seats held by the Republican Party in a given state will be considered. (e.g. The loss of a particular district's seat by the Republican Party followed by the gain of another district's seat would not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".)

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

For the purposes of this market, states won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election include Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. This list is determined by the winner of the electoral votes for each state in the 2024 Presidential election. In states such as Maine and Nebraska, where electoral votes are allocated separately by congressional districts as well as to the statewide winner, only the electoral votes allocated to the statewide winner are considered.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Mike Rogers win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s Truth Social post published on the morning of December 15, 2025, regarding the passing of Rob Reiner (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/115724141568860081) is deleted at any point between this market’s creation and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying deletion includes the post being removed for any duration, regardless of whether it is later reposted.

Edits to the post will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in Hungary at any time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Trump and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of Ethereum, either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 22, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

Weave
$8,839 Vol.
No

Insane Asylum
$31,126 Vol.
Yes

Ford
$97,779 Vol.
No

Border 25+ times
$45,883 Vol.
No

Border 35+ times
$19,124 Vol.
No

Kamala 30+ times
$34,867 Vol.
No

Million 10+ times
$21,231 Vol.
No

China 10+ times
$175,062 Vol.
No

MAGA 4+ times
$63,011 Vol.
No

American Dream 3+ times
$24,813 Vol.
Yes

North Carolina 2+ times
$49,147 Vol.
Yes

Hurricane 2+ times
$32,459 Vol.
No

Barack Hussein Obama
$20,434 Vol.
No

Tampon
$11,510 Vol.
No

Trans
$40,791 Vol.
Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin
$148,421 Vol.
No

Tren de Aragua
$23,730 Vol.
Yes

Reagan
$34,689 Vol.
No

JD Vance
$15,329 Vol.
No

Tesla
$33,288 Vol.
No

Elon
$21,982 Vol.
Yes

Market Context

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

Rules

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

Market Context

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

About

Related

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

Weave$8,839 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Insane Asylum$31,126 Vol.Yescircle check

Ford$97,779 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Border 25+ times$45,883 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Border 35+ times$19,124 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kamala 30+ times$34,867 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Million 10+ times$21,231 Vol.Nocircle xmark

China 10+ times$175,062 Vol.Nocircle xmark

MAGA 4+ times$63,011 Vol.Nocircle xmark

American Dream 3+ times$24,813 Vol.Yescircle check

North Carolina 2+ times$49,147 Vol.Yescircle check

Hurricane 2+ times$32,459 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Barack Hussein Obama$20,434 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tampon$11,510 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Trans$40,791 Vol.Yescircle check

Crypto/Bitcoin$148,421 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tren de Aragua$23,730 Vol.Yescircle check

Reagan$34,689 Vol.Nocircle xmark

JD Vance$15,329 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tesla$33,288 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Elon$21,982 Vol.Yescircle check

Market Context

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

Rules

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

Market Context

What will Trump say during Detroit rally?

About

Related

Weave
$8,839 Vol.
No

Insane Asylum
$31,126 Vol.
Yes

Ford
$97,779 Vol.
No

Border 25+ times
$45,883 Vol.
No

Border 35+ times
$19,124 Vol.
No

Kamala 30+ times
$34,867 Vol.
No

Million 10+ times
$21,231 Vol.
No

China 10+ times
$175,062 Vol.
No

MAGA 4+ times
$63,011 Vol.
No

American Dream 3+ times
$24,813 Vol.
Yes

North Carolina 2+ times
$49,147 Vol.
Yes

Hurricane 2+ times
$32,459 Vol.
No

Barack Hussein Obama
$20,434 Vol.
No

Tampon
$11,510 Vol.
No

Trans
$40,791 Vol.
Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin
$148,421 Vol.
No

Tren de Aragua
$23,730 Vol.
Yes

Reagan
$34,689 Vol.
No

JD Vance
$15,329 Vol.
No

Tesla
$33,288 Vol.
No

Elon
$21,982 Vol.
Yes