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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Market icon

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Mar 31

Mar 31

Love is Blind: The Reunion 2.4%

Virgin River: Season 7 2.3%

A Friend, A Murderer: Limited Series 1.8%

Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic 1.7%

Polymarket

$93,898 Vol.

Love is Blind: The Reunion 2.4%

Virgin River: Season 7 2.3%

A Friend, A Murderer: Limited Series 1.8%

Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic 1.7%

Polymarket

$93,898 Vol.

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Love is Blind: The Reunion

$941 Vol.

2%

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Virgin River: Season 7

$6,002 Vol.

2%

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A Friend, A Murderer: Limited Series

$1,207 Vol.

2%

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Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic

$533 Vol.

2%

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ONE PIECE: Season 2

$8,582 Vol.

1%

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Bridgerton: Season 4

$19,388 Vol.

1%

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The Dinosaurs: Season 1

$49,506 Vol.

<1%

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The TikTok Killer: Limited Series

$2,039 Vol.

<1%

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Age of Attraction: Season 1

$5,701 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty in a crowded Netflix slate, with Virgin River Season 7 holding a slim edge at market-implied 2.2% odds due to its established fanbase and sustained binge momentum since the March 12 premiere, where early episodes delivered romantic drama and shocking twists that reignited viewer loyalty. Close challengers like the chilling Danish true-crime docuseries A Friend, A Murderer (1.8%) and nostalgic comedy special Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic (1.7%) benefit from genre buzz—true crime's addictive pull and '90s throwback appeal—while Love is Blind: The Reunion (1.7%) taps reality TV superfans post its March 11 drop. One Piece Season 2 (1.1%) draws anime diehards amid mid-top 10 charting, but holdovers like Beauty in Black dominate daily views, per recent FlixPatrol data. Key differentiators include weekend streaming surges and hours-viewed tallies through Sunday, with no breakout hit emerging yet.

Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty in a crowded Netflix slate, with Virgin River Season 7 holding a slim edge at market-implied 2.2% odds due to its established fanbase and sustained binge momentum since the March 12 premiere, where early episodes delivered romantic drama and shocking twists that reignited viewer loyalty. Close challengers like the chilling Danish true-crime docuseries A Friend, A Murderer (1.8%) and nostalgic comedy special Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic (1.7%) benefit from genre buzz—true crime's addictive pull and '90s throwback appeal—while Love is Blind: The Reunion (1.7%) taps reality TV superfans post its March 11 drop. One Piece Season 2 (1.1%) draws anime diehards amid mid-top 10 charting, but holdovers like Beauty in Black dominate daily views, per recent FlixPatrol data. Key differentiators include weekend streaming surges and hours-viewed tallies through Sunday, with no breakout hit emerging yet.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty in a crowded Netflix slate, with Virgin River Season 7 holding a slim edge at market-implied 2.2% odds due to its established fanbase and sustained binge momentum since the March 12 premiere, where early episodes delivered romantic drama and shocking twists that reignited viewer loyalty. Close challengers like the chilling Danish true-crime docuseries A Friend, A Murderer (1.8%) and nostalgic comedy special Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic (1.7%) benefit from genre buzz—true crime's addictive pull and '90s throwback appeal—while Love is Blind: The Reunion (1.7%) taps reality TV superfans post its March 11 drop. One Piece Season 2 (1.1%) draws anime diehards amid mid-top 10 charting, but holdovers like Beauty in Black dominate daily views, per recent FlixPatrol data. Key differentiators include weekend streaming surges and hours-viewed tallies through Sunday, with no breakout hit emerging yet.

Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty in a crowded Netflix slate, with Virgin River Season 7 holding a slim edge at market-implied 2.2% odds due to its established fanbase and sustained binge momentum since the March 12 premiere, where early episodes delivered romantic drama and shocking twists that reignited viewer loyalty. Close challengers like the chilling Danish true-crime docuseries A Friend, A Murderer (1.8%) and nostalgic comedy special Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic (1.7%) benefit from genre buzz—true crime's addictive pull and '90s throwback appeal—while Love is Blind: The Reunion (1.7%) taps reality TV superfans post its March 11 drop. One Piece Season 2 (1.1%) draws anime diehards amid mid-top 10 charting, but holdovers like Beauty in Black dominate daily views, per recent FlixPatrol data. Key differentiators include weekend streaming surges and hours-viewed tallies through Sunday, with no breakout hit emerging yet.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Love is Blind: The Reunion" at 2%, followed by "Virgin River: Season 7" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" has generated $93.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Love is Blind: The Reunion" at just 2%, with "Virgin River: Season 7" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.