Market icon

What products will Apple launch on September 9?

Market icon

What products will Apple launch on September 9?

$100,072 Vol.

Sep 9, 2025
Polymarket

$100,072 Vol.

Polymarket

Apple Watch

$7,519 Vol.

Yes

iPhone Air

$13,894 Vol.

Yes

Other MacBook

$841 Vol.

No

HomePod

$12,564 Vol.

No

Other iPad

$1,270 Vol.

No

Airtag

$15,008 Vol.

No

Studio Display

$1,161 Vol.

No

iPhone SE

$8,648 Vol.

No

Other iPhone

$5,678 Vol.

Yes

iMac

$3,186 Vol.

No

iPad Air

$3,987 Vol.

No

Glasses/Headset

$3,875 Vol.

No

Airpods

$7,109 Vol.

Yes

Apple TV

$11,354 Vol.

No

MacBook Air

$3,978 Vol.

No

Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, at 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces a new AirPods product during this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If multiple products are released, each relevant market may resolve to "Yes".

This market may not resolve to "No" until the September 9 launch event is concluded.

If this event does not occur by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official feed of the event and information from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$100,072
End Date
Sep 9, 2025
Market Opened
Sep 5, 2025, 8:20 AM ET
Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, at 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces a new AirPods product during this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple products are released, each relevant market may resolve to "Yes". This market may not resolve to "No" until the September 9 launch event is concluded. If this event does not occur by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be an official feed of the event and information from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What products will Apple launch on September 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple Watch" at 100%, followed by "iPhone Air" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What products will Apple launch on September 9?" has generated $100.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What products will Apple launch on September 9?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What products will Apple launch on September 9?" is "Apple Watch" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "iPhone Air" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What products will Apple launch on September 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.