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Sports·UFC

John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin

Polymarket
John Castaneda
John Castaneda
FINAL
Mark Vologdin
Mark Vologdin
$685.88K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$678K Vol.

Totals

$7.1K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$165 Vol.

Vologdin to win by KO/TKO?

$201 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$234 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$159 Vol.

Castaneda to win by KO/TKO?

$367 Vol.

This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Vologdin defeats John Castaneda at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Castaneda defeats Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.John Castañeda enters as the slight trader favorite at around 57% implied probability against UFC debutant Mark Vologdin in this bantamweight prelim at UFC Fight Night Winnipeg, driven by his veteran experience (21-8, 4-4 UFC) and wrestling edge (1.68 takedowns per 15 minutes) to counter Vologdin's high-volume striking (7.8 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 11.0). Castañeda rides a two-fight skid since his last win in 2023, while the Russian Contender Series grad (12-4-1) brings aggressive pressure but 0% takedown accuracy and a 3-inch height disadvantage. Key recent factor: Castañeda's weigh-in miss to 139 lbs forced a catchweight, hinting at potential camp issues with no reported injuries; stylistic chaos favors an early finish or decision grind.

This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$685,877
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mark Vologdin and the John Castaneda, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Vologdin is currently priced at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and Castaneda at 50¢ (50%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” market has generated $685.9K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Vologdin vs. Castaneda,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAR92 at 51¢ and JOH9 at 50¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” show Mark Vologdin at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and John Castaneda at 50¢ (50%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin

Polymarket
John Castaneda
John Castaneda
FINAL
Mark Vologdin
Mark Vologdin
$685.88K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$678K Vol.

Totals

$7.1K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$165 Vol.

Vologdin to win by KO/TKO?

$201 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$234 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$159 Vol.

Castaneda to win by KO/TKO?

$367 Vol.

This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Vologdin defeats John Castaneda at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Castaneda defeats Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.John Castañeda enters as the slight trader favorite at around 57% implied probability against UFC debutant Mark Vologdin in this bantamweight prelim at UFC Fight Night Winnipeg, driven by his veteran experience (21-8, 4-4 UFC) and wrestling edge (1.68 takedowns per 15 minutes) to counter Vologdin's high-volume striking (7.8 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 11.0). Castañeda rides a two-fight skid since his last win in 2023, while the Russian Contender Series grad (12-4-1) brings aggressive pressure but 0% takedown accuracy and a 3-inch height disadvantage. Key recent factor: Castañeda's weigh-in miss to 139 lbs forced a catchweight, hinting at potential camp issues with no reported injuries; stylistic chaos favors an early finish or decision grind.

This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$685,877
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mark Vologdin and the John Castaneda, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Vologdin is currently priced at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and Castaneda at 50¢ (50%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” market has generated $685.9K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Vologdin vs. Castaneda,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAR92 at 51¢ and JOH9 at 50¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” show Mark Vologdin at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and John Castaneda at 50¢ (50%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Vologdin vs. Castaneda” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.