Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League title after an unbeaten run through the league phase and round of 16 advancement past Bayer Leverkusen, bolstered by their Premier League lead and favorable quarter-final tie against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5%, reflecting Bundesliga dominance and Vincent Kompany's attacking style, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces risk. Barcelona's 16.5% share stems from a dominant round of 16 rout of Newcastle and strong La Liga form, setting up a tense Spanish derby versus Atletico Madrid. PSG (12.5%) and Real Madrid (10.5%) face uphill paths against Liverpool and Bayern, respectively, keeping the race tight amid high-stakes quarter-finals starting April 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,044,541 Vol.
$222,044,541 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,044,541 Vol.
$222,044,541 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League title after an unbeaten run through the league phase and round of 16 advancement past Bayer Leverkusen, bolstered by their Premier League lead and favorable quarter-final tie against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5%, reflecting Bundesliga dominance and Vincent Kompany's attacking style, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces risk. Barcelona's 16.5% share stems from a dominant round of 16 rout of Newcastle and strong La Liga form, setting up a tense Spanish derby versus Atletico Madrid. PSG (12.5%) and Real Madrid (10.5%) face uphill paths against Liverpool and Bayern, respectively, keeping the race tight amid high-stakes quarter-finals starting April 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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