Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to claim the UEFA Champions League title, propelled by their flawless 8-0-0 league phase dominance—fewest goals conceded, most scored—and a gritty 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over Bayer Leverkusen, setting up a favorable quarter-final against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich lurks close at 21.5% following a clinical 10-2 demolition of Atalanta, though Real Madrid poses a formidable obstacle. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced emphatically past Newcastle (8-3 agg) and Chelsea (8-2 agg), but face high-stakes derbies versus Atletico Madrid and Liverpool respectively, fueling the tight race amid knockout volatility and evenly matched paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,918,651 Vol.
$221,918,651 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,918,651 Vol.
$221,918,651 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to claim the UEFA Champions League title, propelled by their flawless 8-0-0 league phase dominance—fewest goals conceded, most scored—and a gritty 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over Bayer Leverkusen, setting up a favorable quarter-final against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich lurks close at 21.5% following a clinical 10-2 demolition of Atalanta, though Real Madrid poses a formidable obstacle. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced emphatically past Newcastle (8-3 agg) and Chelsea (8-2 agg), but face high-stakes derbies versus Atletico Madrid and Liverpool respectively, fueling the tight race amid knockout volatility and evenly matched paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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