Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?

Name: Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?
Start: 2026-03-09T21:33:31.236Z
End: 2026-03-20T20:00:00.000Z

Finance·Weekly

Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?

Mar 20

Mar 27

Mar 20

Mar 27

<$375 100.0%

$375-$380 <1%

$380-$385 <1%

$385-$390 <1%

$102,249 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026

<$375

$5,569 Vol.

100%

$375-$380

$3,322 Vol.

<1%

$380-$385

$7,474 Vol.

<1%

$385-$390

$397 Vol.

<1%

$390-$395

$2,731 Vol.

<1%

$395-$400

$2,588 Vol.

<1%

$400-$405

$2,805 Vol.

<1%

$405-$410

$1,180 Vol.

<1%

$410-$415

$45,138 Vol.

<1%

$415-$420

$1,073 Vol.

<1%

>$420

$29,971 Vol.

<1%

<$375 100.0%

$375-$380 <1%

$380-$385 <1%

$385-$390 <1%

$102,249 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026

<$375

$5,569 Vol.

100%

$375-$380

$3,322 Vol.

<1%

$380-$385

$7,474 Vol.

<1%

$385-$390

$397 Vol.

<1%

$390-$395

$2,731 Vol.

<1%

$395-$400

$2,588 Vol.

<1%

$400-$405

$2,805 Vol.

<1%

$405-$410

$1,180 Vol.

<1%

$410-$415

$45,138 Vol.

<1%

$415-$420

$1,073 Vol.

<1%

>$420

$29,971 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 16 below $375, anchored by the stock's current trading level around $250—over 30% below that threshold—with limited upside catalysts in sight over the next five months. Key drivers include persistent EV demand weakness, evidenced by Q3 delivery growth slowing to 6% year-over-year amid China competition and high interest rates curbing affordability; eroding auto gross margins at 17.1% despite record profits; and macroeconomic headwinds like persistent Fed funds rates above 4.5%. Scenarios challenging this positioning include a Q4 earnings beat exceeding $0.70 EPS consensus in January, accelerating Cybertruck production past 250K run-rate, or FSD regulatory breakthroughs sparking a 50% rally, though historical post-earnings volatility tempers such optimism.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 20, 2026, 11:20 PM UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<$375" at 100%, followed by "$375-$380" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?" has generated $102.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?" is "<$375" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$375-$380" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $102.2K traded on “Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "<$375" in the "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "<$375" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?

Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?

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