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Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

$19,919,327 Vol.

Apr 29, 2025

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,919,327
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Nov 6, 2024, 11:19 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

$19,919,327 Vol.

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Sam Bankman-Fried

$2,009,458 Vol.

No

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Eric Adams

$993,621 Vol.

No

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Steve Bannon

$805,284 Vol.

No

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Roger Ver

$1,466,254 Vol.

No

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Julian Assange

$564,823 Vol.

No

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Himself

$1,087,167 Vol.

No

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January 6 protestor

$756,779 Vol.

Yes

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Ross Ulbricht

$6,087,387 Vol.

Yes

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Diddy

$1,401,581 Vol.

No

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Elon Musk

$568,855 Vol.

No

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Hunter Biden

$1,312,596 Vol.

No

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Young Thug

$115,127 Vol.

No

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Edward Snowden

$1,889,164 Vol.

No

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Matt Gaetz

$236,254 Vol.

No

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Daniel Penny

$67,404 Vol.

No

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Rudy Giuliani

$199,945 Vol.

No

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Roger Stone

$32,880 Vol.

No

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Bob Menendez

$66,747 Vol.

No

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Rod Blagojevich

$270 Vol.

Yes

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Joe Exotic "The Tiger King"

$19,793 Vol.

No

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Derek Chauvin

$133,067 Vol.

No

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CZ

$104,870 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$19,919,327
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Nov 6, 2024, 11:19 AM ET

Beware of external links.