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Politics·Trump

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

$124,182 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$124,182 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$100,627 Vol.

2%

April 30

$13,226 Vol.

42%

December 31

$10,541 Vol.

77%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has expressed past interest in declassifying UFO or UAP files, citing intriguing information during interviews like his 2020 appearance on Fox News and more recently with podcaster Logan Paul in June 2024, but he has made no specific commitments or timelines as of his transition period. With inauguration on January 20, 2025, any declassification would require executive action, potentially via orders directing agencies like the Department of Defense or intelligence community to release documents, subject to national security reviews. Recent cabinet picks, including Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence—who has advocated UAP transparency—and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary, signal potential openness, though no actions have occurred amid ongoing congressional pushes like the UAP Disclosure Act in the NDAA. Traders weigh historical incumbent reluctance against Trump's outsider promises, with resolution hinging on verifiable new file releases before market deadlines.

President-elect Donald Trump has expressed past interest in declassifying UFO or UAP files, citing intriguing information during interviews like his 2020 appearance on Fox News and more recently with podcaster Logan Paul in June 2024, but he has made no specific commitments or timelines as of his transition period. With inauguration on January 20, 2025, any declassification would require executive action, potentially via orders directing agencies like the Department of Defense or intelligence community to release documents, subject to national security reviews. Recent cabinet picks, including Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence—who has advocated UAP transparency—and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary, signal potential openness, though no actions have occurred amid ongoing congressional pushes like the UAP Disclosure Act in the NDAA. Traders weigh historical incumbent reluctance against Trump's outsider promises, with resolution hinging on verifiable new file releases before market deadlines.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has expressed past interest in declassifying UFO or UAP files, citing intriguing information during interviews like his 2020 appearance on Fox News and more recently with podcaster Logan Paul in June 2024, but he has made no specific commitments or timelines as of his transition period. With inauguration on January 20, 2025, any declassification would require executive action, potentially via orders directing agencies like the Department of Defense or intelligence community to release documents, subject to national security reviews. Recent cabinet picks, including Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence—who has advocated UAP transparency—and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary, signal potential openness, though no actions have occurred amid ongoing congressional pushes like the UAP Disclosure Act in the NDAA. Traders weigh historical incumbent reluctance against Trump's outsider promises, with resolution hinging on verifiable new file releases before market deadlines.

President-elect Donald Trump has expressed past interest in declassifying UFO or UAP files, citing intriguing information during interviews like his 2020 appearance on Fox News and more recently with podcaster Logan Paul in June 2024, but he has made no specific commitments or timelines as of his transition period. With inauguration on January 20, 2025, any declassification would require executive action, potentially via orders directing agencies like the Department of Defense or intelligence community to release documents, subject to national security reviews. Recent cabinet picks, including Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence—who has advocated UAP transparency—and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary, signal potential openness, though no actions have occurred amid ongoing congressional pushes like the UAP Disclosure Act in the NDAA. Traders weigh historical incumbent reluctance against Trump's outsider promises, with resolution hinging on verifiable new file releases before market deadlines.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 78%, followed by "April 30" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" has generated $124.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" is "December 31" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 30" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.