Trump approval rating on June 27?
$110,366 Vol.
45.0–45.4% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<44.5%
$34,436 Vol.
No
<44.5%
$34,436 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$12,845 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$12,845 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$16,925 Vol.
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$16,925 Vol.
Yes
45.5–45.9%
$10,875 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$10,875 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$18,266 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$18,266 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$17,021 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$17,021 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 27, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jun 20, 2025, 3:37 PM UTC
Volume
$110,366End Date
Jun 27, 2025Created At
Jun 20, 2025, 3:37 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$110,366 Vol.
Trump approval rating on June 27?
45.0–45.4% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
<44.5%
$34,436 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$12,845 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$16,925 Vol.
Yes
45.5–45.9%
$10,875 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$18,266 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$17,021 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$110,366End Date
Jun 27, 2025Created At
Jun 20, 2025, 3:37 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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