Trump approval rating on December 26?
$6,238 Vol.
41.5–41.9 61%
42.0–42.4 27%
41.0–41.4 6.5%
42.5–42.9 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<41.0
$809 Vol.
2%
<41.0
$809 Vol.
2%
41.0–41.4
$1,222 Vol.
7%
41.0–41.4
$1,222 Vol.
7%
41.5–41.9
$1,280 Vol.
61%
41.5–41.9
$1,280 Vol.
61%
42.0–42.4
$1,413 Vol.
27%
42.0–42.4
$1,413 Vol.
27%
42.5–42.9
$707 Vol.
3%
42.5–42.9
$707 Vol.
3%
43.0+
$807 Vol.
2%
43.0+
$807 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 26, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Dec 22, 2025, 4:42 AM UTC
Volume
$6,238End Date
Dec 26, 2025Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 4:42 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$6,238 Vol.
Trump approval rating on December 26?
41.5–41.9 61%
42.0–42.4 27%
41.0–41.4 6.5%
42.5–42.9 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<41.0
$809 Vol.
2%
41.0–41.4
$1,222 Vol.
7%
41.5–41.9
$1,280 Vol.
61%
42.0–42.4
$1,413 Vol.
27%
42.5–42.9
$707 Vol.
3%
43.0+
$807 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$6,238End Date
Dec 26, 2025Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 4:42 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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