Trump approval rating on August 29?
$77,523 Vol.
44.0–44.4% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5–43.9% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$13,270 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$13,270 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$16,487 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$16,487 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$17,256 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$17,256 Vol.
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$14,028 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$14,028 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$10,552 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$10,552 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$5,930 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$5,930 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 29, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Aug 23, 2025, 4:25 AM UTC
Volume
$77,523End Date
Aug 29, 2025Created At
Aug 23, 2025, 4:25 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$77,523 Vol.
Trump approval rating on August 29?
44.0–44.4% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5–43.9% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
<43.5%
$13,270 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$16,487 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$17,256 Vol.
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$14,028 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$10,552 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$5,930 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$77,523End Date
Aug 29, 2025Created At
Aug 23, 2025, 4:25 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.