Name: Time 2024 Person of the Year
Start: 2024-12-05T23:07:34.050184Z
End: 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on who will be named Time Magazine's Person of the Year in 2024.

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Elon Musk is explicitly named. 

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. 

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Elon Musk 

If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named. 

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. 

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Donald Trump

If Joe Biden is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long asJoe Biden is explicitly named. 

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. 

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Joe Biden

If Kamala Harris is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Kamala Harris is explicitly named. 

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. 

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Kamala Harris

If Artificial Intelligence or AI is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Artificial Intelligence or AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Artificial Intelligence or AI is explicitly named. 

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. 

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Benjamin Netanyahu is explicitly named. 

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. 

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Benjamin Netanyahu

If Joe Rogan is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Rogan  is named as TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Joe Rogan is explicitly named. 

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. 

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Joe Rogan

Time 2024 Person of the Year

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the individual named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In the event that multiple individuals are named TIME's 2025 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of them is a woman.

If for any reason the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human is named TIME's Person of the Year for 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, any person or group of people will count as “humans.” This includes explicitly named individuals and their titles such as "Taylor Swift" or "Bad Bunny", general public designations such as “You” (i.e., internet users), and collective entities such as “The Protester” or “The Silence Breakers.”

In the event that multiple entities are named TIME's 2025 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "No" if at least one of them is not a human.

If, for any reason, the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. 

If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. 

The resolution source is official information from Time.

Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year, scheduled for December 17, 2025.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the BBC. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?

Public voting for StopAntisemitism’s 2025 Antisemite of the Year award runs through December 12, 2025 (see: https://stopantisemitism.org/asoty2025top10/)

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is named StopAntisemitism’s 2025 Antisemite of the Year.

If multiple people are named 2025 Antisemite of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose listed full name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no 2025 Antisemite of the Year has been declared by StopAntisemitism by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from StopAntisemitism (https://stopantisemitism.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the listed golfer who wins the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year Award.

If the award is not announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the PGA Tour (https://www.pgatour.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/
 (navigate: Global → Trending → People), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “People” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

The winners of the Steam Award for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL DPOY is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Myles Garrett win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fernando Mendozis awarded the Heisman Trophy for the 2025-26 NCAA Football season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust.

Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Player of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Clutch Player of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Clutch Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the streamer that wins Streamer of the Year at the 2025 Streamer Awards scheduled for December 6, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the streamer whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thestreamerawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will iShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2025 Streamer Awards?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Saquon Barkley win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the Naismith College Player of the Year Award for the 2025-2026 Men’s NCAA division 1 basketball season.

If the listed player is not included as a semifinalist or finalist for the Naismith College Player of the Year Award, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is announced by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the Naismith Awards organizers (https://naismithtrophy.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cameron Boozer win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?

This market will resolve to "No" if any of the listed people receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

The listed individuals are: 
- Diddy
- Ghislaine Maxwell
- Sam Bankman-Fried
- Elizabeth Holmes
- Derek Chauvin

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Defensive Player of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed song that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL MVP is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Christian Pulisic win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Artificial Intelligence is named TIME's Person of 2025
- GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam
- AI wins IMO gold medal
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark
- AI scores ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If resolution-relevant information regarding the events mentioned above is not available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If by that date there is still no clear information indicating that one of the listed events has occurred,  this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
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https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Team of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Vitality win the HLTV Team of the Year award?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Caris LeVert win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver.

If the listed driver wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver?

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".  

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Time 2024 Person of the Year

Elon Musk
$293,888 Vol.
No

Donald Trump
$476,623 Vol.
Yes

Joe Biden
$99,612 Vol.
No

Kamala Harris
$92,258 Vol.
No

AI
$576,563 Vol.
No

Benjamin Netanyahu
$86,776 Vol.
No

Joe Rogan
$58,528 Vol.
No

Market Context

Time 2024 Person of the Year

Rules

Time 2024 Person of the Year

Market Context

Time 2024 Person of the Year

About

Related

Time 2024 Person of the Year

Elon Musk $293,888 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Donald Trump$476,623 Vol.Yescircle check

Joe Biden$99,612 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kamala Harris$92,258 Vol.Nocircle xmark

AI$576,563 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Benjamin Netanyahu$86,776 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Joe Rogan$58,528 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Time 2024 Person of the Year

Rules

Time 2024 Person of the Year

Market Context

Time 2024 Person of the Year

About

Related

Elon Musk
$293,888 Vol.
No

Donald Trump
$476,623 Vol.
Yes

Joe Biden
$99,612 Vol.
No

Kamala Harris
$92,258 Vol.
No

AI
$576,563 Vol.
No

Benjamin Netanyahu
$86,776 Vol.
No

Joe Rogan
$58,528 Vol.
No