Aubry Bracco's commanding 89% implied probability on Polymarket stems from her landslide lead in ongoing fan voting polls for Survivor 50's all-returnees cast, announced by Jeff Probst as "voted entirely by you," with ballots favoring her strategic prowess from Kaôh Rōng and Edge of Extinction. Traders consensus positions her as both a lock for inclusion and a frontrunner to claim the million-dollar prize, given her two runner-up finishes and enduring popularity among superfans. Cirie Fields trails at 4.3% on her iconic strategic gameplay across multiple seasons, despite no win, while longshots like Charlie Davis reflect recent strong showings. Recent poll updates solidified Aubry's edge post-voting close, though official cast reveal and secret jury votes introduce volatility ahead of the 2025 premiere.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSurvivor 50 Winner
Survivor 50 Winner
Aubry Bracco 89%
Cirie Fields 4.3%
Charlie Davis 1.0%
Rizo Velovic <1%
$527,115 Vol.
$527,115 Vol.
Aubry Bracco
89%
Cirie Fields
4%
Charlie Davis
1%
Rizo Velovic
1%
Christian Hubicki
1%
Jonathan Young
1%
Joe Hunter
1%
Mike White
<1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
Benjamin "Coach" Wade
<1%
Ozzy Lusth
<1%
Tiffany Nicole Ervin
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
<1%
Kamilla Karthigesu
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Quintavius "Q" Burdette
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Kyle Fraser
<1%
Aubry Bracco 89%
Cirie Fields 4.3%
Charlie Davis 1.0%
Rizo Velovic <1%
$527,115 Vol.
$527,115 Vol.
Aubry Bracco
89%
Cirie Fields
4%
Charlie Davis
1%
Rizo Velovic
1%
Christian Hubicki
1%
Jonathan Young
1%
Joe Hunter
1%
Mike White
<1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
Benjamin "Coach" Wade
<1%
Ozzy Lusth
<1%
Tiffany Nicole Ervin
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
<1%
Kamilla Karthigesu
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Quintavius "Q" Burdette
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Kyle Fraser
<1%
If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Market Opened: Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aubry Bracco's commanding 89% implied probability on Polymarket stems from her landslide lead in ongoing fan voting polls for Survivor 50's all-returnees cast, announced by Jeff Probst as "voted entirely by you," with ballots favoring her strategic prowess from Kaôh Rōng and Edge of Extinction. Traders consensus positions her as both a lock for inclusion and a frontrunner to claim the million-dollar prize, given her two runner-up finishes and enduring popularity among superfans. Cirie Fields trails at 4.3% on her iconic strategic gameplay across multiple seasons, despite no win, while longshots like Charlie Davis reflect recent strong showings. Recent poll updates solidified Aubry's edge post-voting close, though official cast reveal and secret jury votes introduce volatility ahead of the 2025 premiere.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions