Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

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Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

$148,099 Vol.

50% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a formal peace agreement or normalization deal is publicly announced between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the State of Israel on or before March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The agreement must be publicly acknowledged and confirmed by official sources from both Saudi Arabia and Israel. This includes, but is not limited to, announcements made by the Saudi Crown Prince or his representatives, Israel's Prime Minister or his representatives, or other official sources such as ministries of foreign affairs.

Informal agreements, unconfirmed reports, or rumors will not count as a valid resolution source. If a deal is reached, it must contain clear terms that signify a normalization of diplomatic relations, such as the establishment of embassies, exchange of ambassadors, or other clear signs of formal diplomatic relations.

For early resolution, if a peace agreement is publicly announced and confirmed before the expiry date, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes". If no formal peace agreement or normalization deal has been publicly announced and confirmed by March 31, 2024, the market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$148,099
End Date
Mar 31, 2024
Created At
Oct 9, 2023, 9:57 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$148,099 Vol.

Market icon

Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

50% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a formal peace agreement or normalization deal is publicly announced between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the State of Israel on or before March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The agreement must be publicly acknowledged and confirmed by official sources from both Saudi Arabia and Israel. This includes, but is not limited to, announcements made by the Saudi Crown Prince or his representatives, Israel's Prime Minister or his representatives, or other official sources such as ministries of foreign affairs.

Informal agreements, unconfirmed reports, or rumors will not count as a valid resolution source. If a deal is reached, it must contain clear terms that signify a normalization of diplomatic relations, such as the establishment of embassies, exchange of ambassadors, or other clear signs of formal diplomatic relations.

For early resolution, if a peace agreement is publicly announced and confirmed before the expiry date, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes". If no formal peace agreement or normalization deal has been publicly announced and confirmed by March 31, 2024, the market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$148,099
End Date
Mar 31, 2024
Created At
Oct 9, 2023, 9:57 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.