Market icon
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Market icon
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Aaron Judge 36%

Bobby Witt Jr. 22%

Cal Raleigh 14%

Yordan Alvarez 11.8%

Polymarket

$42,191 Vol.

Aaron Judge 36%

Bobby Witt Jr. 22%

Cal Raleigh 14%

Yordan Alvarez 11.8%

Polymarket

$42,191 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$303 Vol.

36%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$0 Vol.

22%

Cal Raleigh

$0 Vol.

14%

Yordan Alvarez

$0 Vol.

12%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$685 Vol.

11%

Julio Rodriguez

$41,203 Vol.

9%

Mike Trout

$0 Vol.

9%

Corey Seager

$0 Vol.

7%

Jose Ramirez

$0 Vol.

6%

Gunnar Henderson

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge tops trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent MVP dominance, elite power projection, and two early home runs tying for seventh in the AL despite a sluggish .150-.188 batting average amid the Yankees' 4-1 AL East start. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 21.5% on his breakout 2025 momentum, all-fields hitting (.267 average), speed, and Royals' competitive positioning. Yordan Alvarez (11.8%) benefits from Astros' AL West lead (5-2) and consistent slugging upside, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (10.5%) gains from Blue Jays' hot 4-1 pace. Julio Rodriguez (9%) and Mike Trout (8.4%) linger on star power and health stability, with Cal Raleigh (7%) buoyed by catcher scarcity value; Gunnar Henderson, Corey Seager, and Jose Ramirez round out viability via recent form and team contention paths in this nascent season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,191
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge tops trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent MVP dominance, elite power projection, and two early home runs tying for seventh in the AL despite a sluggish .150-.188 batting average amid the Yankees' 4-1 AL East start. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 21.5% on his breakout 2025 momentum, all-fields hitting (.267 average), speed, and Royals' competitive positioning. Yordan Alvarez (11.8%) benefits from Astros' AL West lead (5-2) and consistent slugging upside, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (10.5%) gains from Blue Jays' hot 4-1 pace. Julio Rodriguez (9%) and Mike Trout (8.4%) linger on star power and health stability, with Cal Raleigh (7%) buoyed by catcher scarcity value; Gunnar Henderson, Corey Seager, and Jose Ramirez round out viability via recent form and team contention paths in this nascent season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,191
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

46%
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Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

27%
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Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

26%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 36%, followed by "Bobby Witt Jr." at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " has generated $42.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL MVP ," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is "Aaron Judge" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bobby Witt Jr." at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.