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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$509,433 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$509,433
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$509,433 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$125,300 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$7,552 Vol.

98%

Marty Supreme

$10,839 Vol.

96%

Sinners

$3,649 Vol.

96%

Sentimental Value

$7,911 Vol.

93%

It Was Just an Accident

$14,214 Vol.

91%

Frankenstein

$33,431 Vol.

91%

Train Dreams

$16,651 Vol.

71%

Bugonia

$23,854 Vol.

54%

Wicked: For Good

$25,779 Vol.

33%

Jay Kelly

$13,800 Vol.

26%

No Other Choice

$23,216 Vol.

22%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$20,575 Vol.

19%

F1

$10,707 Vol.

11%

Weapons

$14,456 Vol.

9%

Nouvelle Vague

$3,666 Vol.

6%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$22,053 Vol.

6%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$2,871 Vol.

5%

The Life of Chuck

$24,662 Vol.

5%

Die My Love

$4,390 Vol.

4%

Rental Family

$26,322 Vol.

4%

Sorry Baby

$616 Vol.

4%

Highest 2 Lowest

$4,256 Vol.

4%

After the Hunt

$234 Vol.

4%

Warfare

$345 Vol.

4%

The Lost Bus

$606 Vol.

4%

A House of Dynamite

$14,847 Vol.

4%

Sound of Falling

$765 Vol.

3%

Novocaine

$542 Vol.

3%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$5,999 Vol.

3%

The Smashing Machine

$20,878 Vol.

2%

Anemone

$21,703 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$2,745 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$509,433
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.