Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 between $4.00 and $5.00 at 100% implied probability, anchored by the stock's current trading around $4.30 amid subdued volatility in real estate tech. Supporting this positioning are stable housing market indicators, including steady mortgage rates near 6.8% from recent Freddie Mac data, and OPEN's Q4 2024 earnings beat on revenue from iBuying revivals, boosting shares 15% post-report. Low short interest at 12% and neutral options flow further reinforce stability. Challenges could arise from surprise Fed signals on rates or a broader market pullback exceeding 5%, potentially pushing shares below $4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$4.00-$5.00 100.0%
<$1.00 <1%
$3.00-$4.00 <1%
$5.00-$6.00 <1%
$149,383 Vol.
$149,383 Vol.
<$1.00
<1%
$3.00-$4.00
<1%
$4.00-$5.00
100%
$5.00-$6.00
<1%
$6.00-$7.00
<1%
>$10
<1%
$4.00-$5.00 100.0%
<$1.00 <1%
$3.00-$4.00 <1%
$5.00-$6.00 <1%
$149,383 Vol.
$149,383 Vol.
<$1.00
<1%
$3.00-$4.00
<1%
$4.00-$5.00
100%
$5.00-$6.00
<1%
$6.00-$7.00
<1%
>$10
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 between $4.00 and $5.00 at 100% implied probability, anchored by the stock's current trading around $4.30 amid subdued volatility in real estate tech. Supporting this positioning are stable housing market indicators, including steady mortgage rates near 6.8% from recent Freddie Mac data, and OPEN's Q4 2024 earnings beat on revenue from iBuying revivals, boosting shares 15% post-report. Low short interest at 12% and neutral options flow further reinforce stability. Challenges could arise from surprise Fed signals on rates or a broader market pullback exceeding 5%, potentially pushing shares below $4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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