MrBeast's next video commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.4% implied probability for 75–76 million YouTube views by day 5, anchored by his unmatched track record of consistent high-volume performance. Recent releases like "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (76.2M on day 5) and "I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica" (75.1M) exemplify this stability, fueled by his 390 million subscribers, algorithm-favored challenge formats, and peak engagement metrics that sustain 10–15 million daily views post-launch. No major shifts in the past week, including steady teaser activity on socials, reinforce this range amid minimal competition. Realistic upsets hinge on breakout virality (e.g., celebrity collab pushing 80M+) or retention dips from content fatigue, though historical patterns make these slim at under 1% each; watch initial 24-hour views upon release for early trajectory signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
75–76M 96.4%
76–77M 2.1%
<75M <1%
77–78M <1%
$683,286 Vol.
$683,286 Vol.
<75M
1%
75–76M
96%
76–77M
2%
77–78M
<1%
78–79M
<1%
79–80M
<1%
80M+
<1%
75–76M 96.4%
76–77M 2.1%
<75M <1%
77–78M <1%
$683,286 Vol.
$683,286 Vol.
<75M
1%
75–76M
96%
76–77M
2%
77–78M
<1%
78–79M
<1%
79–80M
<1%
80M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's next video commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.4% implied probability for 75–76 million YouTube views by day 5, anchored by his unmatched track record of consistent high-volume performance. Recent releases like "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (76.2M on day 5) and "I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica" (75.1M) exemplify this stability, fueled by his 390 million subscribers, algorithm-favored challenge formats, and peak engagement metrics that sustain 10–15 million daily views post-launch. No major shifts in the past week, including steady teaser activity on socials, reinforce this range amid minimal competition. Realistic upsets hinge on breakout virality (e.g., celebrity collab pushing 80M+) or retention dips from content fatigue, though historical patterns make these slim at under 1% each; watch initial 24-hour views upon release for early trajectory signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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