Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?
$88,801 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Created At: Jan 9, 2026, 12:10 AM UTC
Volume
$88,801End Date
Jan 16, 2026Created At
Jan 9, 2026, 12:10 AM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...$88,801 Vol.
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$88,801End Date
Jan 16, 2026Created At
Jan 9, 2026, 12:10 AM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...
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