NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are trading at approximately $167.50 mid-week, firmly anchoring Polymarket's 100% implied probability on the $165-$170 closing bin for the week ending March 28, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital amid low volatility and no major catalysts remaining. This positioning stems from steady post-earnings momentum following the February 26 report, where revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39.3 billion on AI chip demand, coupled with flat trading volume and range-bound action after CEO Jensen Huang's recent comments on Blackwell production ramps. Broader semiconductor strength, with the PHLX Semiconductor Index up 2% this week, supports stability, though a surprise macroeconomic shock like hotter-than-expected CPI data or geopolitical tensions could spark a 5%+ swing challenging the tight range before Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$165-$170 100.0%
<$155 <1%
$155-$160 <1%
$160-$165 <1%
$39,425 Vol.
$39,425 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
<$155
No
$155-$160
No
$160-$165
No
$165-$170
Yes
$170-$175
No
$175-$180
No
$180-$185
No
$185-$190
No
$190-$195
No
$195-$200
No
>$200
No
$165-$170 100.0%
<$155 <1%
$155-$160 <1%
$160-$165 <1%
$39,425 Vol.
$39,425 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
<$155
$1,292 Vol.
No
$155-$160
$2,139 Vol.
No
$160-$165
$3,663 Vol.
No
$165-$170
$5,397 Vol.
Yes
$170-$175
$4,875 Vol.
No
$175-$180
$8,995 Vol.
No
$180-$185
$2,928 Vol.
No
$185-$190
$2,622 Vol.
No
$190-$195
$2,305 Vol.
No
$195-$200
$3,060 Vol.
No
>$200
$2,147 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are trading at approximately $167.50 mid-week, firmly anchoring Polymarket's 100% implied probability on the $165-$170 closing bin for the week ending March 28, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital amid low volatility and no major catalysts remaining. This positioning stems from steady post-earnings momentum following the February 26 report, where revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39.3 billion on AI chip demand, coupled with flat trading volume and range-bound action after CEO Jensen Huang's recent comments on Blackwell production ramps. Broader semiconductor strength, with the PHLX Semiconductor Index up 2% this week, supports stability, though a surprise macroeconomic shock like hotter-than-expected CPI data or geopolitical tensions could spark a 5%+ swing challenging the tight range before Friday's close.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$39,425End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are trading at approximately $167.50 mid-week, firmly anchoring Polymarket's 100% implied probability on the $165-$170 closing bin for the week ending March 28, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital amid low volatility and no major catalysts remaining. This positioning stems from steady post-earnings momentum following the February 26 report, where revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39.3 billion on AI chip demand, coupled with flat trading volume and range-bound action after CEO Jensen Huang's recent comments on Blackwell production ramps. Broader semiconductor strength, with the PHLX Semiconductor Index up 2% this week, supports stability, though a surprise macroeconomic shock like hotter-than-expected CPI data or geopolitical tensions could spark a 5%+ swing challenging the tight range before Friday's close.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$39,425End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are trading at approximately $167.50 mid-week, firmly anchoring Polymarket's 100% implied probability on the $165-$170 closing bin for the week ending March 28, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital amid low volatility and no major catalysts remaining. This positioning stems from steady post-earnings momentum following the February 26 report, where revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39.3 billion on AI chip demand, coupled with flat trading volume and range-bound action after CEO Jensen Huang's recent comments on Blackwell production ramps. Broader semiconductor strength, with the PHLX Semiconductor Index up 2% this week, supports stability, though a surprise macroeconomic shock like hotter-than-expected CPI data or geopolitical tensions could spark a 5%+ swing challenging the tight range before Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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