Market icon

Nuclear weapon detonation by...?

$1,711,052 Vol.

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between Dec 1, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations.

Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.

This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.

For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,711,052
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Dec 2, 2024, 11:37 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

$1,711,052 Vol.

Market icon

Nuclear weapon detonation by...?

March 31

$827,456 Vol.

No

circle xmark

June 30

$883,595 Vol.

No

circle xmark

About

Volume
$1,711,052
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Dec 2, 2024, 11:37 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.