Nuclear weapon detonation by...?
$1,711,052 Vol.
OUTCOMERESULT
March 31
$827,456 Vol.
No
March 31
$827,456 Vol.
No
June 30
$883,595 Vol.
No
June 30
$883,595 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between Dec 1, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations.
Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations.
Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 2, 2024, 11:37 PM UTC
Volume
$1,711,052End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Dec 2, 2024, 11:37 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$1,711,052 Vol.
Nuclear weapon detonation by...?
March 31
$827,456 Vol.
No
June 30
$883,595 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$1,711,052End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Dec 2, 2024, 11:37 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.