Nathan MacKinnon's league-leading 11 goals through 12 games for the Colorado Avalanche anchor his 84.7% implied probability as Rocket Richard Trophy frontrunner, fueled by a scorching four-goal outburst against Vegas on November 2 and consistent multi-point nights amid Mikko Rantanen's upper-body injury absence, boosting MacKinnon's shot volume. Cole Caufield's nine goals pace the Canadiens at a similar early-season clip, sustaining his 25.9% trader consensus amid Montreal's surprising start, though his lower assist production and tougher upcoming schedule temper expectations against MacKinnon's all-situations dominance. The field trails sharply at 1.1% or less, reflecting minimal goal threats from McDavid, Boldy, and others in a wide-open regular-season race with 70 games remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNathan MacKinnon 86.3%
Cole Caufield 25.0%
Matthew Boldy 2.2%
Connor McDavid 2.0%
$51,859 Vol.
$51,859 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
86%
Cole Caufield
30%
Matthew Boldy
2%
Connor McDavid
2%
Tomas Hertl
1%
Lucas Raymond
1%
Nikita Kucherov
1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Brandon Hagel
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Brock Nelson
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Elias Pettersson (1988)
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Adam Fantilli
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Jared McCann
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Bo Horvat
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Bryan Rust
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Alex Ovechkin
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Tom Wilson
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Macklin Celebrini
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Mikko Rantanen
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
John Tavares
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon 86.3%
Cole Caufield 25.0%
Matthew Boldy 2.2%
Connor McDavid 2.0%
$51,859 Vol.
$51,859 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
86%
Cole Caufield
30%
Matthew Boldy
2%
Connor McDavid
2%
Tomas Hertl
1%
Lucas Raymond
1%
Nikita Kucherov
1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Brandon Hagel
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Brock Nelson
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Elias Pettersson (1988)
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Adam Fantilli
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Jared McCann
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Bo Horvat
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Bryan Rust
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Alex Ovechkin
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Tom Wilson
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Macklin Celebrini
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Mikko Rantanen
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
John Tavares
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nathan MacKinnon's league-leading 11 goals through 12 games for the Colorado Avalanche anchor his 84.7% implied probability as Rocket Richard Trophy frontrunner, fueled by a scorching four-goal outburst against Vegas on November 2 and consistent multi-point nights amid Mikko Rantanen's upper-body injury absence, boosting MacKinnon's shot volume. Cole Caufield's nine goals pace the Canadiens at a similar early-season clip, sustaining his 25.9% trader consensus amid Montreal's surprising start, though his lower assist production and tougher upcoming schedule temper expectations against MacKinnon's all-situations dominance. The field trails sharply at 1.1% or less, reflecting minimal goal threats from McDavid, Boldy, and others in a wide-open regular-season race with 70 games remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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