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NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner

Market icon

NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner

Matthew Schaefer 98.4%

Ivan Demidov 1.4%

Beckett Sennecke <1%

Luca Del Bel Belluz <1%

Polymarket

$274,993 Vol.

Matthew Schaefer 98.4%

Ivan Demidov 1.4%

Beckett Sennecke <1%

Luca Del Bel Belluz <1%

Polymarket

$274,993 Vol.

Matthew Schaefer

$24,003 Vol.

98%

Ivan Demidov

$18,170 Vol.

1%

Beckett Sennecke

$121,214 Vol.

1%

Luca Del Bel Belluz

$0 Vol.

<1%

Helge Grans

$0 Vol.

<1%

Isaac Howard

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jimmy Snuggerud

$0 Vol.

<1%

Zeev Buium

$46,322 Vol.

<1%

Calum Ritchie

$0 Vol.

<1%

Levi Merilainen

$0 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Nikishin

$0 Vol.

<1%

Arseniy Gritsyuk

$0 Vol.

<1%

Michael Misa

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Kapanen

$0 Vol.

<1%

Zayne Parekh

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cutter Gauthier

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Chibrikov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Leonard

$0 Vol.

<1%

Samuel Honzek

$0 Vol.

<1%

Linus Karlsson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Owen Pickering

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sam Rinzel

$0 Vol.

<1%

Artyom Levshunov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Rutger McGroarty

$0 Vol.

<1%

Joakim Kemell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Justin Sourdif

$32,393 Vol.

<1%

Danila Yurov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Logan Mailloux

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jett Luchanko

$0 Vol.

<1%

Easton Cowan

$0 Vol.

<1%

James Hagens

$0 Vol.

<1%

Maxim Shabanov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Axel Sandin-Pellikka

$0 Vol.

<1%

Liam Ohgren

$0 Vol.

<1%

Colton Dach

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Lund

$0 Vol.

<1%

Yaroslav Askarov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Alex Bump

$0 Vol.

<1%

Lane Hutson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Leo Sahlin-Wallenius

$0 Vol.

<1%

Dmitri Simashev

$0 Vol.

<1%

Seamus Casey

$16,833 Vol.

<1%

Brennan Othmann

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Moore

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tom Willander

$0 Vol.

<1%

Karsen Dorwart

$0 Vol.

<1%

Liam Greentree

$0 Vol.

<1%

Daniil But

$0 Vol.

<1%

Carter King

$0 Vol.

<1%

Trevor Connelly

$0 Vol.

<1%

Shane Lachance

$0 Vol.

<1%

Dans Locmelis

$0 Vol.

<1%

Justin Robidas

$0 Vol.

<1%

Fabian Lysell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Del Mastro

$0 Vol.

<1%

Maveric Lamoureux

$0 Vol.

<1%

Scott Morrow

$0 Vol.

<1%

Noah Ostlund

$16,058 Vol.

<1%

Ville Ottavainen

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan Lekkerimaki

$0 Vol.

<1%

Rory Kerins

$0 Vol.

<1%

Luca Cagnoni

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gabe Perreault

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Savoie

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jesper Wallstedt

$0 Vol.

<1%

Bradly Nadeau

$0 Vol.

<1%

Fraser Minten

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jake O'Brien

$0 Vol.

<1%

Berkly Catton

$0 Vol.

<1%

Dalibor Dvorsky

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sam Dickinson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Wood

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jani Nyman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Will Smith

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lambert

$0 Vol.

<1%

Aydar Suniev

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Fowler

$0 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cristall

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ville Koivunen

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jack DeVine

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ozzy Wiesblatt

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York Islanders rookie defenseman Matthew Schaefer commands 98.4% trader consensus for the Calder Memorial Trophy, fueled by his historic 2025-26 campaign leading all NHL rookies with 22 goals, 56 points, and +21 rating through 74 games. The 18-year-old first-overall pick shattered records as the youngest blueliner to reach 50 points and first teen defenseman to 20 goals, dominating all zones with elite speed, shot metrics, and 24-plus minutes of average time on ice while driving play for a playoff-contending squad. Recent feats like October Rookie of the Month honors and a sustained point streak underscore his separation from challengers like Ivan Demidov and Beckett Sennecke. Only a catastrophic injury or extraordinary late-season surge by a trailing rookie could realistically disrupt this trajectory as the regular season nears its April close.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$274,993
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York Islanders rookie defenseman Matthew Schaefer commands 98.4% trader consensus for the Calder Memorial Trophy, fueled by his historic 2025-26 campaign leading all NHL rookies with 22 goals, 56 points, and +21 rating through 74 games. The 18-year-old first-overall pick shattered records as the youngest blueliner to reach 50 points and first teen defenseman to 20 goals, dominating all zones with elite speed, shot metrics, and 24-plus minutes of average time on ice while driving play for a playoff-contending squad. Recent feats like October Rookie of the Month honors and a sustained point streak underscore his separation from challengers like Ivan Demidov and Beckett Sennecke. Only a catastrophic injury or extraordinary late-season surge by a trailing rookie could realistically disrupt this trajectory as the regular season nears its April close.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$274,993
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 81+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matthew Schaefer" at 98%, followed by "Ivan Demidov" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner" has generated $275K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner," browse the 81+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner" is "Matthew Schaefer" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ivan Demidov" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.