This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming 90.5% probability on no actor yet being chosen reflects the early stage of Amazon MGM Studios' casting process, which officially began in mid-May 2026 with the hiring of veteran casting director Nina Gold to lead auditions under director Denis Villeneuve. Recent reports confirm the search remains wide open, with no frontrunner locked in and emphasis on finding a fresh face after Daniel Craig's tenure, consistent with historical patterns where announcements follow script finalization and extensive testing. Trader consensus aligns with this timeline, as the next film is not expected until after Villeneuve completes Dune: Part Three. An upset could occur if producers accelerate the process with a surprise announcement or if guild or critical buzz rapidly elevates one contender ahead of schedule.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market's overwhelming 90.5% probability on no actor yet being chosen reflects the early stage of Amazon MGM Studios' casting process, which officially began in mid-May 2026 with the hiring of veteran casting director Nina Gold to lead auditions under director Denis Villeneuve. Recent reports confirm the search remains wide open, with no frontrunner locked in and emphasis on finding a fresh face after Daniel Craig's tenure, consistent with historical patterns where announcements follow script finalization and extensive testing. Trader consensus aligns with this timeline, as the next film is not expected until after Villeneuve completes Dune: Part Three. An upset could occur if producers accelerate the process with a surprise announcement or if guild or critical buzz rapidly elevates one contender ahead of schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially begins casting for next James Bond
Amazon MGM Studios announced that auditions for the next James Bond actor had officially started, with casting director Nina Gold leading the search. This marked a significant step in the casting process, confirming that no actor had yet been chosen but the search was active.
May 4 2026
Jacob Elordi suffers foot injury, raising questions about Bond odds
Jacob Elordi dips to 3%1%
Jacob Elordi broke his foot, causing him to miss the Cannes Film Festival jury duties. While the injury's impact on his James Bond chances was uncertain, it coincided with a slight drop in his market odds, reflecting some concern about potential production delays or availability.
Apr 15 2026
Amazon MGM Studios urges patience on James Bond casting announcement
Amazon MGM Studios executives publicly urged fans to be patient regarding the casting announcement for the next James Bond, emphasizing the care and respect being taken in the process. This statement tempered market expectations and contributed to the high probability that no Bond had been chosen yet.
Apr 1 2026
Euronews reveals Jacob Elordi as next James Bond amid ongoing speculation
Euronews Culture officially revealed Jacob Elordi as the next James Bond, confirming widespread rumors and speculation. This announcement influenced market prices, though no formal studio confirmation was made at the time.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor after years of speculation
No Bond chosen jumps to 89%14%
After years of rumors and speculation, the identity of the next James Bond was officially revealed, ending the market uncertainty and speculation.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor expected soon
Reports indicated that the identity of the next James Bond actor was expected to be revealed soon, with Jacob Elordi considered a leading candidate. The announcement was anticipated as the production timeline for Bond 26 approached, increasing market activity and speculation.
Jan 23 2026
Jacob Elordi reportedly in advanced talks for James Bond role
Jacob Elordi surges to 22%15%
Reports surfaced that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and producers, suggesting he was in advanced talks for the role. This news boosted his market position significantly.
Jan 22 2026
Jacob Elordi reported as frontrunner after meetings with Denis Villeneuve and Amazon
Jacob Elordi rises to 51%1%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the next James Bond. This news increased his market odds and media buzz, although no official offer had been made yet.
Jan 7 2026
Reports claim Jacob Elordi is frontrunner for next James Bond after meetings with Villeneuve
Jacob Elordi plunges to 22%28%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the role. This news caused a surge in market interest and betting odds favoring Elordi.
Dec 4 2025
Reports claim Callum Turner has landed the role of James Bond
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, intensifying rumors and speculation. This news caused a spike in market interest and betting odds favoring Turner.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as favorite for next James Bond amid rumors
Rumors intensified that Callum Turner was the leading candidate for the next James Bond, fueled by reports of his alignment with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon's reboot plans. Bookmakers shortened his odds significantly, reflecting growing market confidence in his casting.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as new favorite for James Bond role
Callum Turner surges to 66%16%
Reports surfaced that Callum Turner had become the new favorite to play James Bond, overtaking previous frontrunners. His recent performances and public profile, along with his engagement to Dua Lipa, increased his visibility and betting odds, pushing his market price up significantly.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson debuts new look sparking Bond casting buzz
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 10%3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson's new look at the London Film Festival reignited speculation about his suitability for James Bond, briefly boosting his market odds before they declined again.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson hints at being next James Bond
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 14%4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson appeared to drop a hint about becoming the next James Bond, which briefly influenced market sentiment though no official confirmation was made.
Oct 20 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland plunges to 1%43%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland would not be able to take the role of James Bond because his contract with Marvel Studios prohibits him from playing other superhero roles that could overshadow his Spider-Man character, effectively removing him from contention.
Oct 19 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%6%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland could not be cast as James Bond because his Marvel contract prohibits him from taking roles that overshadow his Spider-Man character. This news led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Sep 4 2025
Amazon MGM Studios announces Denis Villeneuve as director for next James Bond film
Denis Villeneuve was officially announced as the director of the next James Bond film, signaling a new creative direction under Amazon MGM Studios. This announcement sparked speculation about the casting of a fresh face for Bond, influencing market interest in potential actors.
Aug 5 2025
Callum Turner emerges as bookmakers' favorite for next James Bond
Callum Turner jumps to 50%6%
Callum Turner became the leading name in the race to be the next James Bond, with bookmakers slashing odds in his favor. This surge was linked to his rising profile and engagement to Dua Lipa, sparking increased betting activity and market confidence in his casting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming 90.5% probability on no actor yet being chosen reflects the early stage of Amazon MGM Studios' casting process, which officially began in mid-May 2026 with the hiring of veteran casting director Nina Gold to lead auditions under director Denis Villeneuve. Recent reports confirm the search remains wide open, with no frontrunner locked in and emphasis on finding a fresh face after Daniel Craig's tenure, consistent with historical patterns where announcements follow script finalization and extensive testing. Trader consensus aligns with this timeline, as the next film is not expected until after Villeneuve completes Dune: Part Three. An upset could occur if producers accelerate the process with a surprise announcement or if guild or critical buzz rapidly elevates one contender ahead of schedule.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market's overwhelming 90.5% probability on no actor yet being chosen reflects the early stage of Amazon MGM Studios' casting process, which officially began in mid-May 2026 with the hiring of veteran casting director Nina Gold to lead auditions under director Denis Villeneuve. Recent reports confirm the search remains wide open, with no frontrunner locked in and emphasis on finding a fresh face after Daniel Craig's tenure, consistent with historical patterns where announcements follow script finalization and extensive testing. Trader consensus aligns with this timeline, as the next film is not expected until after Villeneuve completes Dune: Part Three. An upset could occur if producers accelerate the process with a surprise announcement or if guild or critical buzz rapidly elevates one contender ahead of schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially begins casting for next James Bond
Amazon MGM Studios announced that auditions for the next James Bond actor had officially started, with casting director Nina Gold leading the search. This marked a significant step in the casting process, confirming that no actor had yet been chosen but the search was active.
May 4 2026
Jacob Elordi suffers foot injury, raising questions about Bond odds
Jacob Elordi dips to 3%1%
Jacob Elordi broke his foot, causing him to miss the Cannes Film Festival jury duties. While the injury's impact on his James Bond chances was uncertain, it coincided with a slight drop in his market odds, reflecting some concern about potential production delays or availability.
Apr 15 2026
Amazon MGM Studios urges patience on James Bond casting announcement
Amazon MGM Studios executives publicly urged fans to be patient regarding the casting announcement for the next James Bond, emphasizing the care and respect being taken in the process. This statement tempered market expectations and contributed to the high probability that no Bond had been chosen yet.
Apr 1 2026
Euronews reveals Jacob Elordi as next James Bond amid ongoing speculation
Euronews Culture officially revealed Jacob Elordi as the next James Bond, confirming widespread rumors and speculation. This announcement influenced market prices, though no formal studio confirmation was made at the time.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor after years of speculation
No Bond chosen jumps to 89%14%
After years of rumors and speculation, the identity of the next James Bond was officially revealed, ending the market uncertainty and speculation.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor expected soon
Reports indicated that the identity of the next James Bond actor was expected to be revealed soon, with Jacob Elordi considered a leading candidate. The announcement was anticipated as the production timeline for Bond 26 approached, increasing market activity and speculation.
Jan 23 2026
Jacob Elordi reportedly in advanced talks for James Bond role
Jacob Elordi surges to 22%15%
Reports surfaced that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and producers, suggesting he was in advanced talks for the role. This news boosted his market position significantly.
Jan 22 2026
Jacob Elordi reported as frontrunner after meetings with Denis Villeneuve and Amazon
Jacob Elordi rises to 51%1%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the next James Bond. This news increased his market odds and media buzz, although no official offer had been made yet.
Jan 7 2026
Reports claim Jacob Elordi is frontrunner for next James Bond after meetings with Villeneuve
Jacob Elordi plunges to 22%28%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the role. This news caused a surge in market interest and betting odds favoring Elordi.
Dec 4 2025
Reports claim Callum Turner has landed the role of James Bond
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, intensifying rumors and speculation. This news caused a spike in market interest and betting odds favoring Turner.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as favorite for next James Bond amid rumors
Rumors intensified that Callum Turner was the leading candidate for the next James Bond, fueled by reports of his alignment with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon's reboot plans. Bookmakers shortened his odds significantly, reflecting growing market confidence in his casting.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as new favorite for James Bond role
Callum Turner surges to 66%16%
Reports surfaced that Callum Turner had become the new favorite to play James Bond, overtaking previous frontrunners. His recent performances and public profile, along with his engagement to Dua Lipa, increased his visibility and betting odds, pushing his market price up significantly.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson debuts new look sparking Bond casting buzz
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 10%3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson's new look at the London Film Festival reignited speculation about his suitability for James Bond, briefly boosting his market odds before they declined again.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson hints at being next James Bond
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 14%4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson appeared to drop a hint about becoming the next James Bond, which briefly influenced market sentiment though no official confirmation was made.
Oct 20 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland plunges to 1%43%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland would not be able to take the role of James Bond because his contract with Marvel Studios prohibits him from playing other superhero roles that could overshadow his Spider-Man character, effectively removing him from contention.
Oct 19 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%6%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland could not be cast as James Bond because his Marvel contract prohibits him from taking roles that overshadow his Spider-Man character. This news led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Sep 4 2025
Amazon MGM Studios announces Denis Villeneuve as director for next James Bond film
Denis Villeneuve was officially announced as the director of the next James Bond film, signaling a new creative direction under Amazon MGM Studios. This announcement sparked speculation about the casting of a fresh face for Bond, influencing market interest in potential actors.
Aug 5 2025
Callum Turner emerges as bookmakers' favorite for next James Bond
Callum Turner jumps to 50%6%
Callum Turner became the leading name in the race to be the next James Bond, with bookmakers slashing odds in his favor. This surge was linked to his rising profile and engagement to Dua Lipa, sparking increased betting activity and market confidence in his casting.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문
"다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"은 15개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 91%의 "본드 선정 안 됨"이며, 이어서 3%의 "캘럼 터너"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 91¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 91%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.
오늘 현재 "다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"은 총 $3 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Aug 4, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.
"다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 15개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.
"다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"의 현재 유력 후보는 91%의 "본드 선정 안 됨"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 91%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 3%의 "캘럼 터너"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.
"다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.
네. 정보를 얻기 위해 거래할 필요가 없습니다. 이 페이지는 "다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"의 실시간 추적기 역할을 합니다. 결과 확률은 새로운 거래가 들어옴에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하고 다른 트레이더들이 무엇을 말하는지 댓글 섹션을 확인할 수 있습니다. 차트의 시간 범위 필터를 사용하여 확률이 시간에 따라 어떻게 변화했는지 확인할 수도 있습니다. 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 무료 실시간 창입니다.
Polymarket 확률은 자신의 신념에 실제 돈을 투자하는 트레이더들에 의해 설정되어 정확한 예측을 표면화하는 경향이 있습니다. "다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"에 $3 million이 거래되어 이 가격은 수천 명의 참가자의 집단 지식과 확신을 집계합니다 — 여론조사, 전문가 예측, 기존 설문조사를 종종 능가합니다. Polymarket과 같은 예측 마켓은 특히 이벤트가 정산일에 가까워질수록 강한 정확도 실적을 가지고 있습니다. 예를 들어 Polymarket의 1개월 정확도 점수는 94%입니다. Polymarket의 예측 정확도에 대한 최신 통계는 정확도 페이지를 방문하세요.
"다음 제임스 본드 배우는?"에서 첫 거래를 하려면 무료 Polymarket 계정에 가입하고 암호화폐, 신용 또는 직불카드, 은행 이체를 사용하여 자금을 입금하세요. 계정에 자금이 입금되면 이 페이지로 돌아와 거래하려는 결과를 선택하고 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 예측 마켓이 처음이라면 Polymarket 페이지 상단의 "이용 방법" 링크를 클릭하여 거래 방법에 대한 단계별 안내를 확인하세요.
Polymarket에서 각 결과의 가격은 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타냅니다. "다음 제임스 본드 배우는?" 마켓에서 "본드 선정 안 됨"의 91¢ 가격은 트레이더들이 "본드 선정 안 됨"이 정확한 결과가 될 확률을 대략 91%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 91¢에 "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 맞으면 주당 $1.00을 받습니다 — 주당 9¢의 수익입니다. 틀리면 해당 주식은 $0의 가치입니다.
"다음 제임스 본드 배우는?" 마켓은 Jun 30, 2026 전후에 정산될 예정입니다. 이는 해당 날짜까지 거래가 계속 열려 있고 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 계속 변할 것임을 의미합니다. 정확한 정산 시기는 이 페이지의 "규칙" 섹션에 명시된 대로 공식 결과가 이용 가능해지는 시점에 따라 달라집니다.
"다음 제임스 본드 배우는?" 마켓에는 트레이더들이 분석을 공유하고, 결과를 토론하고, 최신 진전을 논의하는 28개 댓글의 활발한 커뮤니티이 있습니다. 아래 댓글 섹션으로 스크롤하여 다른 참가자들의 의견을 읽어보세요. "상위 보유자"로 필터링하여 마켓의 가장 큰 트레이더들의 포지션을 확인하거나 "활동" 탭에서 실시간 거래 피드를 확인할 수도 있습니다.
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