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Next James Bond actor?

Market icon

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 62%

Callum Turner 22%

Jacob Elordi 4.1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 4.0%

Polymarket

$1,505,869 Vol.

No Bond chosen 62%

Callum Turner 22%

Jacob Elordi 4.1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 4.0%

Polymarket

$1,505,869 Vol.

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No Bond chosen

$239,101 Vol.

62%

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Callum Turner

$105,291 Vol.

22%

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Jacob Elordi

$212,413 Vol.

4%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$93,163 Vol.

4%

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Henry Cavill

$181,826 Vol.

3%

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Paul Mescal

$86,052 Vol.

2%

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Harris Dickinson

$128,318 Vol.

1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$168,844 Vol.

1%

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Jack Lowdon

$57,231 Vol.

1%

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Theo James

$13,399 Vol.

1%

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Tom Holland

$57,188 Vol.

1%

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James Norton

$86,088 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Hardy

$60,345 Vol.

<1%

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Josh O'Connor

$8,994 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$7,615 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 62% implied probability, reflecting Bond 26's early pre-production phase under director Denis Villeneuve, who wraps Dune: Part Three post-production this year before tackling the script by Steven Knight—no official casting has advanced amid insider dismissals of rumors as "bullsh*t." Callum Turner leads challengers at 21.5% after his odds doubled in early March on whispers of meetings with Amazon MGM Studios and coy interview responses fueling frontrunner buzz, while Jacob Elordi's 4.2% and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's recent 4.0% surge stem from prior producer talks and late-March betting shifts. Casting eyes turn to mid-2026 announcements, with historical Bond searches underscoring rapid volatility.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 62% implied probability, reflecting Bond 26's early pre-production phase under director Denis Villeneuve, who wraps Dune: Part Three post-production this year before tackling the script by Steven Knight—no official casting has advanced amid insider dismissals of rumors as "bullsh*t." Callum Turner leads challengers at 21.5% after his odds doubled in early March on whispers of meetings with Amazon MGM Studios and coy interview responses fueling frontrunner buzz, while Jacob Elordi's 4.2% and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's recent 4.0% surge stem from prior producer talks and late-March betting shifts. Casting eyes turn to mid-2026 announcements, with historical Bond searches underscoring rapid volatility.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 62% implied probability, reflecting Bond 26's early pre-production phase under director Denis Villeneuve, who wraps Dune: Part Three post-production this year before tackling the script by Steven Knight—no official casting has advanced amid insider dismissals of rumors as "bullsh*t." Callum Turner leads challengers at 21.5% after his odds doubled in early March on whispers of meetings with Amazon MGM Studios and coy interview responses fueling frontrunner buzz, while Jacob Elordi's 4.2% and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's recent 4.0% surge stem from prior producer talks and late-March betting shifts. Casting eyes turn to mid-2026 announcements, with historical Bond searches underscoring rapid volatility.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 62% implied probability, reflecting Bond 26's early pre-production phase under director Denis Villeneuve, who wraps Dune: Part Three post-production this year before tackling the script by Steven Knight—no official casting has advanced amid insider dismissals of rumors as "bullsh*t." Callum Turner leads challengers at 21.5% after his odds doubled in early March on whispers of meetings with Amazon MGM Studios and coy interview responses fueling frontrunner buzz, while Jacob Elordi's 4.2% and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's recent 4.0% surge stem from prior producer talks and late-March betting shifts. Casting eyes turn to mid-2026 announcements, with historical Bond searches underscoring rapid volatility.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 62%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.