Next French Prime Minister
Other 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
David Lisnard <1%
Éric Zemmour <1%
$1,391,916 Vol.
$1,391,916 Vol.
Lucie Castets
$24,790 Vol.
No
Lucie Castets
$24,790 Vol.
No
David Lisnard
$27,166 Vol.
No
David Lisnard
$27,166 Vol.
No
Éric Zemmour
$73,060 Vol.
No
Éric Zemmour
$73,060 Vol.
No
Xavier Bertrand
$24,839 Vol.
No
Xavier Bertrand
$24,839 Vol.
No
Jordan Bardella
$102,335 Vol.
No
Jordan Bardella
$102,335 Vol.
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$138,594 Vol.
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$138,594 Vol.
No
Pierre Moscovici
$17,312 Vol.
No
Pierre Moscovici
$17,312 Vol.
No
Éric Lombard
$17,499 Vol.
No
Éric Lombard
$17,499 Vol.
No
Jean Castex
$20,509 Vol.
No
Jean Castex
$20,509 Vol.
No
Election called
$95,598 Vol.
No
Election called
$95,598 Vol.
No
Élisabeth Borne
$161,777 Vol.
No
Élisabeth Borne
$161,777 Vol.
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
$49,342 Vol.
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
$49,342 Vol.
No
Olivier Faure
$52,841 Vol.
No
Olivier Faure
$52,841 Vol.
No
Gérard Larcher
$27,929 Vol.
No
Gérard Larcher
$27,929 Vol.
No
Other
$10,417 Vol.
Yes
Other
$10,417 Vol.
Yes
No new PM
$272,235 Vol.
No
No new PM
$272,235 Vol.
No
Laurent Wauquiez
$31,554 Vol.
No
Laurent Wauquiez
$31,554 Vol.
No
Bruno Retailleau
$16,699 Vol.
No
Bruno Retailleau
$16,699 Vol.
No
Valérie Pécresse
$9,121 Vol.
No
Valérie Pécresse
$9,121 Vol.
No
Gérald Darmanin
$37,190 Vol.
No
Gérald Darmanin
$37,190 Vol.
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
$42,471 Vol.
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
$42,471 Vol.
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$25,607 Vol.
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$25,607 Vol.
No
Catherine Vautrin
$17,897 Vol.
No
Catherine Vautrin
$17,897 Vol.
No
Roland Lescure
$16,857 Vol.
No
Roland Lescure
$16,857 Vol.
No
Gabriel Attal
$27,819 Vol.
No
Gabriel Attal
$27,819 Vol.
No
François Bayrou
$21,107 Vol.
No
François Bayrou
$21,107 Vol.
No
Thierry Beaudet
$17,081 Vol.
No
Thierry Beaudet
$17,081 Vol.
No
Boris Vallaud
$12,269 Vol.
No
Boris Vallaud
$12,269 Vol.
No
Rules
Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote.
If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”.
If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”.
The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Oct 6, 2025, 1:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Next French Prime Minister
Other 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
David Lisnard <1%
Éric Zemmour <1%
$1,391,916 Vol.
$1,391,916 Vol.
Lucie Castets
No
David Lisnard
No
Éric Zemmour
No
Xavier Bertrand
No
Jordan Bardella
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
No
Pierre Moscovici
No
Éric Lombard
No
Jean Castex
No
Election called
No
Élisabeth Borne
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
No
Olivier Faure
No
Gérard Larcher
No
Other
Yes
No new PM
No
Laurent Wauquiez
No
Bruno Retailleau
No
Valérie Pécresse
No
Gérald Darmanin
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
No
Catherine Vautrin
No
Roland Lescure
No
Gabriel Attal
No
François Bayrou
No
Thierry Beaudet
No
Boris Vallaud
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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