Other 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
David Lisnard <1%
Éric Zemmour <1%
$1,391,916 Vol.
$1,391,916 Vol.
Lucie Castets
No
David Lisnard
No
Éric Zemmour
No
Xavier Bertrand
No
Jordan Bardella
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
No
Pierre Moscovici
No
Éric Lombard
No
Jean Castex
No
Election called
No
Élisabeth Borne
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
No
Olivier Faure
No
Gérard Larcher
No
Other
Yes
No new PM
No
Laurent Wauquiez
No
Bruno Retailleau
No
Valérie Pécresse
No
Gérald Darmanin
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
No
Catherine Vautrin
No
Roland Lescure
No
Gabriel Attal
No
François Bayrou
No
Thierry Beaudet
No
Boris Vallaud
No
Other 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
David Lisnard <1%
Éric Zemmour <1%
$1,391,916 Vol.
$1,391,916 Vol.
Lucie Castets
No
David Lisnard
No
Éric Zemmour
No
Xavier Bertrand
No
Jordan Bardella
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
No
Pierre Moscovici
No
Éric Lombard
No
Jean Castex
No
Election called
No
Élisabeth Borne
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
No
Olivier Faure
No
Gérard Larcher
No
Other
Yes
No new PM
No
Laurent Wauquiez
No
Bruno Retailleau
No
Valérie Pécresse
No
Gérald Darmanin
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
No
Catherine Vautrin
No
Roland Lescure
No
Gabriel Attal
No
François Bayrou
No
Thierry Beaudet
No
Boris Vallaud
No
Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote.
If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”.
If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”.
The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Oct 6, 2025, 1:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions