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Next French Prime Minister

Market icon

Next French Prime Minister

Other 100.0%

Lucie Castets <1%

David Lisnard <1%

Éric Zemmour <1%

Polymarket

$1,391,916 Vol.

Other 100.0%

Lucie Castets <1%

David Lisnard <1%

Éric Zemmour <1%

Polymarket

$1,391,916 Vol.

Lucie Castets

$24,790 Vol.

No

David Lisnard

$27,166 Vol.

No

Éric Zemmour

$73,060 Vol.

No

Xavier Bertrand

$24,839 Vol.

No

Jordan Bardella

$102,335 Vol.

No

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$138,594 Vol.

No

Pierre Moscovici

$17,312 Vol.

No

Éric Lombard

$17,499 Vol.

No

Jean Castex

$20,509 Vol.

No

Election called

$95,598 Vol.

No

Élisabeth Borne

$161,777 Vol.

No

Jean-Louis Borloo

$49,342 Vol.

No

Olivier Faure

$52,841 Vol.

No

Gérard Larcher

$27,929 Vol.

No

Other

$10,417 Vol.

Yes

No new PM

$272,235 Vol.

No

Laurent Wauquiez

$31,554 Vol.

No

Bruno Retailleau

$16,699 Vol.

No

Valérie Pécresse

$9,121 Vol.

No

Gérald Darmanin

$37,190 Vol.

No

Bernard Cazeneuve

$42,471 Vol.

No

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$25,607 Vol.

No

Catherine Vautrin

$17,897 Vol.

No

Roland Lescure

$16,857 Vol.

No

Gabriel Attal

$27,819 Vol.

No

François Bayrou

$21,107 Vol.

No

Thierry Beaudet

$17,081 Vol.

No

Boris Vallaud

$12,269 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu.

Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote.

If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”.

If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”.

The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,391,916
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 6, 2025, 1:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu. Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”. If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Prime Minister" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 100%, followed by "Lucie Castets" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next French Prime Minister" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next French Prime Minister," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Prime Minister" is "Other" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lucie Castets" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Prime Minister" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.