Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

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New EU country recognizes Palestine before July?

$23,029 Vol.

50% chance

Rules

On May 22, 2024, Norway, Ireland, and Spain announced that they plan to formally recognize a Palestinian state on May 28. Several other EU member states have announced intentions to recognize a Palestinian state in the future.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any EU country that has not previously done so, besides Spain and Ireland, formally recognizes a Palestinian state by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Only a government's formal recognition of a Palestinian state will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of any relevant state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,029
End Date
Jun 15, 2024
Created At
May 22, 2024, 4:49 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$23,029 Vol.

Market icon

New EU country recognizes Palestine before July?

50% chance

About

On May 22, 2024, Norway, Ireland, and Spain announced that they plan to formally recognize a Palestinian state on May 28. Several other EU member states have announced intentions to recognize a Palestinian state in the future.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any EU country that has not previously done so, besides Spain and Ireland, formally recognizes a Palestinian state by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Only a government's formal recognition of a Palestinian state will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of any relevant state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,029
End Date
Jun 15, 2024
Created At
May 22, 2024, 4:49 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.