Name: 'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office
Start: 2024-12-10T18:35:22.820376Z
End: 2024-12-23T12:00:00Z

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This is a negrisk market group over the opening weekend box office figures for 'Mufasa: The Lion King'.

This is a market on how much 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses less than $52,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

<$52m

This is a market on how much 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses between $52,000,000 (inclusive) and $58,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$52-58m

This is a market on how much 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses between $58,000,000 (inclusive) and $64,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$58-64m

This is a market on how much 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses between $64,000,000 (inclusive) and $70,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$64-70m

This is a market on how much 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses more than $70,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

>$70m

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

This is a market on how whether 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) will have the second-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 21 - 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) grosses the second-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If two other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This is a market on how whether 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) will have the third-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) grosses the third-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If three other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (December 26 - 28) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" box office will gross domestically by January 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (December 19, 2025) and January 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including January 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to the movie with the second highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to the movie with the third highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets over 100 million views in the first 7 days after being posted between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Videos posted within the final 7 days of this market's resolution date will qualify, and this market will remain open to allow for the full 7 days to be completed.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast’s posted YouTube videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced videos will not be considered.

Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$52m
$346,382 Vol.
Yes

$52-58m
$70,790 Vol.
No

$58-64m
$79,594 Vol.
No

$64-70m
$94,022 Vol.
No

>$70m
$136,489 Vol.
No

Market Context

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

Rules

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

Market Context

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

About

Related

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$52m$346,382 Vol.Yescircle check

$52-58m$70,790 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$58-64m$79,594 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$64-70m$94,022 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$70m$136,489 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

Rules

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

Market Context

'Mufasa: The Lion King' Opening Weekend Box Office

About

Related

<$52m
$346,382 Vol.
Yes

$52-58m
$70,790 Vol.
No

$58-64m
$79,594 Vol.
No

$64-70m
$94,022 Vol.
No

>$70m
$136,489 Vol.
No