Paul Skenes holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young after his dominant 2024 rookie campaign—leading the league in ERA and strikeouts—but Hunter Greene, Mitch Keller, and Jacob Misiorowski keep odds bunched tightly under 28% due to their shared profiles as high-velocity strikeout artists with ace upside. Greene's triple-digit fastball and Keller's Pirates rotation stability mirror Skenes' breakout blueprint, while Misiorowski's rapid Brewers ascent from top-prospect status adds volatility. This parity stems from NL Central firepower, lingering injury questions for veterans like Yamamoto and Strider, and the two-year projection horizon where workload, command, and health remain unpredictable wild cards shaping the crowded market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPaul Skenes 23%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 12%
Cristopher Sanchez 11%
Hunter Greene 5.5%
Paul Skenes
28%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
12%
Cristopher Sanchez
11%
Hunter Greene
23%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Chris Sale
4%
Blake Snell
3%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
7%
Freddy Peralta
2%
Nolan McLean
6%
Eury Perez
2%
Tyler Glasnow
2%
Zack Wheeler
2%
Jesus Luzardo
2%
Michael King
1%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Nick Pivetta
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
Spencer Strider
1%
Paul Skenes 23%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 12%
Cristopher Sanchez 11%
Hunter Greene 5.5%
Paul Skenes
28%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
12%
Cristopher Sanchez
11%
Hunter Greene
23%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Chris Sale
4%
Blake Snell
3%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
7%
Freddy Peralta
2%
Nolan McLean
6%
Eury Perez
2%
Tyler Glasnow
2%
Zack Wheeler
2%
Jesus Luzardo
2%
Michael King
1%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Nick Pivetta
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
Spencer Strider
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young after his dominant 2024 rookie campaign—leading the league in ERA and strikeouts—but Hunter Greene, Mitch Keller, and Jacob Misiorowski keep odds bunched tightly under 28% due to their shared profiles as high-velocity strikeout artists with ace upside. Greene's triple-digit fastball and Keller's Pirates rotation stability mirror Skenes' breakout blueprint, while Misiorowski's rapid Brewers ascent from top-prospect status adds volatility. This parity stems from NL Central firepower, lingering injury questions for veterans like Yamamoto and Strider, and the two-year projection horizon where workload, command, and health remain unpredictable wild cards shaping the crowded market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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