Name: Largest Company end of 2025?
Start: 2024-12-30T18:12:03.686955Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting which company will be the largest by market capitalization on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nvidia is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

NVIDIA

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Microsoft

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Apple

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet (GOOG) is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Alphabet

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Tesla

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Amazon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Aramco is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Saudi Aramco

Largest Company

Largest Company end of 2025?

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Nvidia has overtaken Apple as the world's most valuable company, reaching a market cap of approximately $3.45 trillion, driven by surging demand for AI-related GPU technology. Apple, now at $3.35 trillion, has seen a significant decline of $510 billion in market cap over recent weeks.

Nvidia Surpasses Apple Again

Apple stock, $AAPL, has erased $510 billion in market cap over the last 3 weeks.

Since December 26th, the stock has declined ~14% and the company’s worth has fallen to $3.35 trillion.

As a result, Nvidia, $NVDA, has again surpassed Apple as the world’s largest company.

This https://t.co/pGmLxLxCsG

NVIDIA has overtaken Apple (again) in terms of market cap https://t.co/Bg3V6aM1bO

Nvidia re-takes Apple’s ‘world’s most valuable’ crown again

- Chip firm’s market cap hits $3.45 trillion

- Surging demand for GPUs crucial for AI applications

- Nvidia stock averaged 86.8% annual gain over five years

#NVDA $NVDA #AAPL $AAPL

https://t.co/cu3WGEHEaC

The Magnificent Seven - Ranked by Market Cap 💰

1. Nvidia, $NVDA: $3.45T
2. Apple, $AAPL: $3.35T
3. Microsoft, $MSFT: $3.19T
4. Alphabet, $GOOGL: $2.43T
5. Amazon, $AMZN: $2.43T
6. Meta, $META: $1.55T
7. Tesla, $TSLA: $1.33T

Which is your favourite stock?

Nvidia has overtaken Apple in market cap, reaching $3.448 trillion, partly due to new initiatives from the Trump administration focused on AI. With significant investments planned, Nvidia may be on track to hit $4 trillion by the end of 2025. #Nvidia #StockMarket

$NVDA once again the world's most valuable company. Market cap near $3.6T. Nvidia up 4% today. $AAPL in second. Worth $3.34T. Down slightly. Keep eye on Microsoft. Could $MSFT leapfrog Apple? Up 3% today and now valued at $3.27T.

Nvidia re-claims world's most valuable company, now closing in on $gbp 😱 https://t.co/0Ir7Z7kCZx

👍🔥 NVIDIA SURGES PAST APPLE AGAIN AS WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY! 🚀

Nvidia has once again eclipsed Apple, securing the title of the world's most valuable company for the third time this year. 

With a market cap hitting $3.53 trillion, Nvidia's stock has seen an 18% rise in https://t.co/1qTAmQvyv5

These stocks are moving the most today: $NFLX +11.35% [on pace for record high close], 

$NVDA +4.2% [Nvidia surpassed Apple as the largest U.S. company by market cap], $ORCL +7.15%, $ARM +15.35%, $MSFT +3.9%, 

$UAL -2.5% [United Airlines CEO sees "plane, engine constraints"

With Apple shares tumbling -10% in January alone, Nvidia has dethroned Apple to be the most valuable company by market cap.

$NVDA $AAPL $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/LU60JARsGW

Nvidia has soared past a $3 trillion market cap, overtaking Apple to become the second largest US company, driven by a major chip supply deal with Saudi Arabia. The surge, fueled by Saudi investments in AI technology, has also boosted CEO Jensen Huang’s net worth by 37% since early April.

Nvidia Surpasses $3 Trillion

Nvidia $NVDA ($3.30T) overtakes Apple $AAPL ($3.17T) to become the second largest US company by market cap.

Microsoft $MSFT is still on top, with a market cap of $3.36 trillion. https://t.co/5mhAyLg5Bm

Nvidia, $NVDA, market cap is above $3 trillion again.

It is up 43% since April 4. https://t.co/msfcUN7ipA

🇺🇸 NVIDIA HITS $3 TRILLION AS SAUDI MONEY POURS INTO AI

Nvidia soared past a $3 trillion market cap after news broke that Saudi Arabia is buying thousands of its high-end AI chips. 

The kingdom’s tech ambitions—backed by the Public Investment Fund—are fueling the surge in https://t.co/KU6uGdbm1t https://t.co/FpYtQNfSxF

Crazy to see the odds on Polymarket all starting to converge between $NVDA, $MSFT, and $AAPL for the "largest company in the world" at the end of 2025. 

Which one do you think it will be? https://t.co/uuI8sHBo8k

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s net worth has surged 37 percent since early April, rising from $83 billion to $114 billion as the company’s stock rebounded sharply. 

Nvidia reentered the $3 trillion market cap club this week following a major chip supply deal with Saudi-backed AI https://t.co/ZFmo9lis7J

Tech stocks are leading the global asset rankings as capital shifts in response to geopolitical developments. Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA, and Amazon are climbing fast. Markets are responding to Trump’s $600B Saudi deal &amp; possible Ukraine-Russia peace talks. https://t.co/YMJaej0lz3

Flippenings to on AMC:
- The US Dollar reclaims the #4 spot, overtaking Gold
- NVIDIA flips Apple, becoming the #2 tech asset
- Microsoft solidifies its #1 company position
- Markets are reacting to Trump’s $600B Saudi pact &amp; peace signals out of Ukraine. https://t.co/qnh5x0Bjtd

Flippenings today on AMC:
- The US Dollar reclaims the #4 spot, overtaking Gold
- NVIDIA flips Apple, becoming the #2 tech asset
- Microsoft solidifies its #1 company position
- Markets are reacting to Trump’s $600B Saudi pact &amp; peace signals out of Ukraine. https://t.co/eNwR58ruLi

Nvidia's market cap has surged, with predictions of reaching $4 to $5 trillion, driven by its pivotal role in the AI revolution and a $200 billion increase after hours. This growth starkly contrasts with competitors like AMD, whose total market cap stands at $182 billion, while Nvidia is also speculated to potentially become the world's largest company by market cap.

Nvidia's Market Cap Soars

Top 10 Largest Companies in the World by Market Cap 💰 

1. 🇺🇸 Microsoft – $3.40T
2. 🇺🇸 Nvidia – $3.29T
3. 🇺🇸 Apple – $2.99T
4. 🇺🇸 Amazon – $2.17T
5. 🇺🇸 Alphabet – $2.09T
6. 🇸🇦 Saudi Aramco – $1.64T
7. 🇺🇸 Meta – $1.61T
8. 🇺🇸 Tesla – $1.14T
9. 🇺🇸 Broadcom – $1.12T
10. 🇺🇸 Berkshire https://t.co/RTlsOxavuw

We believe the path for Nvidia is a $4 trillion and then $5 trillion market cap. We believe the "Al Revolution Ives 30 list" captures the 2nd/3rd derivative Al plays in the tech world that will be the major beneficiaries of this $2 trillion of spend over the next 3 years 🔥🏆🐂

Nvidia $NVDA will be a $5 trillion market cap. Not sure exactly when, but it will happen.

Nvidia $NVDA market cap +$200bn in after the close.

vs

 AMD's $AMD total market cap is $182B.

🌐 Ape Network

📢 Parlay Bet Placed! 🎯🔥

👤 Player: 0x7605d1558e3eAdE1E3659D3D084CFF996a387C53
💰 Wager: 5 $APE ($3.62)
🔢 Total Odds: 436x
💰 Potential Win: 2180 $APE ($1577.49)

📝 Selections:

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? - Yes vs

Apple is facing criticism for falling behind in the AI race, with many pointing out that Siri has become a missed opportunity that could have been a standalone product worth trillions. Despite this, Apple maintains a strong position with a market cap of $3.350 trillion, ranking second among top companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft.

Apple Lags in AI

Apple fumbled the bag so bad on the AI race. Just atrociously dessimated the opportunity of a lifetime.

Siri is such a useless waste of space but could have been a standalone product with a $1 trillion market cap.

💰 Top Companies with the highest market cap today (January 25):

1. 🇺🇸 NVIDIA: $3.492 T  
2. 🇺🇸 Apple: $3.350 T  
3. 🇺🇸 Microsoft: $3.301 T  
4. 🇺🇸 Amazon: $2.469 T  
5. 🇺🇸 Alphabet (Google): $2.460 T  
6. 🇸🇦 Saudi Aramco: $1.813 T  
7. 🇺🇸 Meta Platforms (Facebook): $1.634 T

Major technology companies, collectively known as the 'Magnificent 7,' have lost over $3 trillion in market cap in 2025, with Tesla down 40.71%, Apple down 24.69%, and others like Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta also seeing significant declines. Despite the downturn, Microsoft retains its position as the world's most valuable publicly traded company at $3.13 trillion, narrowly ahead of Apple and Nvidia.

Tech Giants Lose Trillions

📊 FACT CHECK: Microsoft Still Leads Nvidia in Market Cap 💼🏆

Despite recent speculation, Microsoft remains the world’s most valuable publicly traded company, with a market cap of $3.13 trillion, ahead of Nvidia’s $2.64 trillion, as of April 7, 2025.

🧠 Nvidia briefly https://t.co/6W3II6uC8j

Apple drops another 5% today, slipping below a $3T market cap and erasing all gains from 2024 and 2025 YTD. It narrowly holds onto the title of the world’s most valuable company, just ahead of Microsoft. https://t.co/0eD3FFxhZ6

"Magnificent 7" has lost over $3 trillion in market cap during 2025 📉

🔴 Tesla ( $TSLA ) -40.71%
🔴 Apple ( $AAPL ) -24.69%
🔴 Nvidia ( $NVDA ) -29.77%
🔴 Alphabet ( $GOOGL ) -22.99%
🔴 Amazon ( $AMZN ) -22.06%
🔴 Microsoft ( $MSFT ) -14.46%
🔴 Meta ( $META ) -13.72% https://t.co/F7ZMxBLoOd

The combined market capitalization of the Magnificent Seven tech giants—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Tesla—dropped to $13.6 trillion amid fears of tariffs and trade uncertainty. Individual stock performances varied, with notable declines in Apple and Nvidia, while Amazon saw a slight increase.

Tech Giants Face Decline

📈 Magnificent Seven Market Cap Drops to $13.6T Amid Tariff Fears and Trade Uncertainty

At the market opening on April 21, 2025, the combined market capitalization of the Magnificent Seven—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Tesla—fell to $13.6 https://t.co/kuJn4OP6Sp

Top 5 US Stocks by Market Cap - Performance Today (4/22/25): 

Microsoft ($MSFT): -0.32% 

Apple ($AAPL): -0.97% 

NVIDIA ($NVDA): -0.81% 

Alphabet ($GOOGL): -0.04% 

Amazon ($AMZN): +0.31% https://t.co/QKi2oGeXUR

Magnificent Seven 🚨Market Cap 🚨Update:✈️✈️✈️✈️📸

The combined ⚡️market cap ⚡️of the Magnificent Seven ⚡️just hit a mind-blowing🤯 $15.33 trillion!💰💰💰

Here’s the breakdown:💬💬💬
•Apple (AAPL): $3.27T 🍏
•Microsoft (MSFT): $3.36T 💻
•Nvidia (NVDA): $3.11T 🤖
•Alphabet https://t.co/D3HtYOt5QK

Microsoft's market cap surged to $3.19 trillion after a 9% increase in after-hours trading, matching Apple's valuation following strong Q1 2025 earnings that exceeded expectations with an EPS of 3.46 and revenue of $70.1 billion. This performance, alongside significant investments in AI and capex by mega-cap companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon, underscores their aggressive push for market dominance.

Microsoft Matches Apple's Cap

Apple's market cap at close today: $3.19T

Microsoft's market cap after a 9% surge in after-hours: $3.19T

Q1 2025 EARNINGS REPORT

•Microsoft (MSFT):-
•Market Cap: 2.90T  
•NASDAQ🇺🇸

                 Estimate            Actual 
  
EPS|          3.23                   3.46🔼

Rev|         68.53B             70.1B🔼

________________________________

#Microsoft #Earnings #NASDAQ100

Q1 2025 EARNINGS REPORT

•Microsoft (MSFT):-
•Market Cap: 2.90T  
•NASDAQ🇺🇸

                 Estimate            Actual 
  
EPS|          3.23                   3.46🔼

Rev|         68.53B             70.1B🔼

The mega cap companies will apply maximum operating leverage to gain market advantage in AI. 

This is why I see the capex commits as safe even in a downturn. If these companies like Meta or Microsoft or Amazon pull back, it sets them at a distinct long term disadvantage. One https://t.co/udnCQUv4Hi

If these gains for Microsoft hold, $MSFT could wind up leaping back above the $3T market cap milestone tomorrow. Would move it closer to $AAPL. Apple reports earnings tomorrow after the close.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest company end of February?

This is a market on predicting which company will be the largest by market capitalization on January 31, 2025.

Largest company on January 31?

This is a market over which company will be the largest by market cap at market close on September 30, 2024.

Largest company on September 30?

This is a market on predicting which company will be the largest by market capitalization at the end of the year.

Largest Company end of 2024?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest company next Friday?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest company end of March?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Largest company end of April?

Largest company end of May?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Largest company end of July?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Largest company end of June?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Largest company end of August?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Largest company end of September?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

arch Largest company end of October?

Largest company end of October?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest Company end of November?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest Company end of June?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest Company end of March?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest Company end of December 2026?

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook is no longer serving as CEO of Apple for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, December 29, 2024 through December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index weighting formula, falls below 25% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the weighting formula for the S&P 500. 

Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 3.1 percent or more over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2025 report is issued. Once the December 2025 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2025 is not issued by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

This market will resolve to the movie with the second highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

This is a market on how whether 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) will have the second-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 21 - 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) grosses the second-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If two other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This market will resolve to the movie with the third highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

This is a market on whether the market capitalization of Solana (SOL) will surpass that of Ethereum (ETH) within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum respectively.

This market's timeframe spans from February 12, 2025, 10:00 AM ET, to December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point within this market's timeframe SOL has a greater market cap than ETH according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data through January 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between March 9, and December 31, 2025 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

ETH flipped in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 160 (inclusive) and 179 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.


Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

This is a market on how whether 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) will have the third-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) grosses the third-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If three other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

Largest Company end of 2025?

NVIDIA
$6,097,184 Vol.
81%
0123456789
%

Apple
$2,985,065 Vol.
19%
0123456789
%

Alphabet
$3,263,416 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Microsoft
$2,768,879 Vol.
<1%

Tesla
$11,539,844 Vol.
<1%

Amazon
$4,548,103 Vol.
<1%

Saudi Aramco
$24,958,089 Vol.
<1%

Market Context

Largest Company end of 2025?

Rules

Largest Company end of 2025?

Market Context

Largest Company end of 2025?

About

Related

Largest Company end of 2025?

NVIDIA$6,097,184 Vol.81%0123456789%buy Yes81¢buy No20¢

Apple$2,985,065 Vol.19%0123456789%buy Yes18.8¢buy No81.5¢

Alphabet$3,263,416 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.6¢

Microsoft$2,768,879 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Tesla$11,539,844 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.1¢buy No0.0¢

Amazon$4,548,103 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.1¢buy No0.0¢

Saudi Aramco$24,958,089 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.1¢buy No0.0¢

Market Context

Largest Company end of 2025?

Rules

Largest Company end of 2025?

Market Context

Largest Company end of 2025?

About

Related

NVIDIA
$6,097,184 Vol.
81%
0123456789
%

Apple
$2,985,065 Vol.
19%
0123456789
%

Alphabet
$3,263,416 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Microsoft
$2,768,879 Vol.
<1%

Tesla
$11,539,844 Vol.
<1%

Amazon
$4,548,103 Vol.
<1%

Saudi Aramco
$24,958,089 Vol.
<1%